Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30912456›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2019

NT -pro BNP as a Mediator of the Racial Difference in Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Heart Failure.

Isaac R Whitman, Eric Vittinghoff, Christopher R DeFilippi, John S Gottdiener, Alvaro Alonso, Bruce M Psaty, Susan R Heckbert, Ron C Hoogeveen, Dan E Arking, Elizabeth Selvin and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Sex and Racial Differences in Left Atrial Appendage Morphology.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Blocked Atrial Bigeminy as an Unusual Cause of Bradycardia: A Case Report.International medical case reports journal · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. NT-pro-BNP Level is Related to Left Ventricular Remodeling in Patients With Primary Aldosteronism.Experimental and clinical endocrinology & diabetes : official journal, German Society of Endocrinology [and] German Diabetes Association · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.

Isaac R Whitman1 Section of Cardiac Electrophysiology Lewis Katz School of Medicine at Temple University Philadelphia Pennsylvania USA.
Eric Vittinghoff2 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics University of California, San Francisco San Francisco California USA.
Christopher R DeFilippi3 Division of Cardiology University of Maryland Baltimore Maryland USA.
John S Gottdiener3 Division of Cardiology University of Maryland Baltimore Maryland USA.
Alvaro Alonso4 Department of Epidemiology Rollins School of Public Health Emory University Atlanta Georgia USA.
Bruce M Psaty5 Cardiovascular Health Research Unit Departments of Medicine, Epidemiology, and Health Services University of Washington Seattle Washington USA.
Susan R Heckbert7 Department of Epidemiology University of Washington, School of Public Health Seattle Washington USA.
Ron C Hoogeveen8 Division of Atherosclerosis and Vascular Medicine Baylor College of Medicine Houston Texas USA.
Dan E Arking9 McKusick-Nathans Institute of Genetic Medicine Johns Hopkins University Baltimore Maryland USA.
Elizabeth Selvin10 Division of Cardiovascular and Clinical Epidemiology Johns Hopkins University Baltimore Maryland USA.
Lin Y Chen11 Cardiovascular Division University of Minnesota Minneapolis and Saint Paul, Minnesota USA.
Thomas A Dewland12 Knight Cardiovascular Institute Oregon Health & Science University Portland Oregon USA.
Gregory M Marcus13 Division of Cardiac Electrophysiology University of California, San Francisco San Francisco California USA.
Johns Hopkins University · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USBaylor College of Medicine · USEmory University · USKaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute · USOregon Health & Science University · USTemple University · USUniversity of Minnesota · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Exceptional Survival: Trajectories to Functional Aging (CHS All Stars)R01AG023629 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2004 to 2016
$9.5M
CHS research resources for the cardiovascular health of older adultsU01HL130114 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BURKE, GREGORY L, KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 2016 to 2019
$6.6M
Diabetes and Prediabetes in Older Adults in ARICR01DK089174 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SELVIN, ELIZABETH · 2011 to 2020
$6.4M
CHS Events Follow-up StudyU01HL080295 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M · 2005 to 2008
$4.6M
Role of EIIIA fibronectin in pulmonary fibrosisR01HL085083 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI WHITE, ERIC S · 2007 to 2011
$1.9M
Research and Mentoring in the Clinical Epidemiology of Type 2 DiabetesK24DK106414 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SELVIN, ELIZABETH · 2015 to 2019
$654k
CHS-Transition PhaseN01HC55222 · NHLBI · PI , · 2007 to 2007
$575k
CARDIOVASCULAR HEALTH STUDY-ECHOCARDIOGRAPHY READING CTRN01HC035129 · HC · GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY · PI GOTTDIENER, JOHN S. · 1993 to 2001
–
American Heart Association-American Stroke Association 16EIA26410001NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268200800007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201200036CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800001CNHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC035129NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC55222NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC85079NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC85080NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC85081NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC85082NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC85083NHLBI NIH HHS N01HC85086NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL080295NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL130114NIA NIH HHS R01 AG023629NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK106414NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK089174
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Blacks harbor more cardiovascular risk factors than whites, but experience less atrial fibrillation ( AF ). Conversely, whites may have a lower risk of heart failure ( CHF ). N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide ( NT -pro BNP) levels are higher in whites, predict incident AF , and have diuretic effects in the setting of increased ventricular diastolic pressures, potentially providing a unifying explanation for these racial differences. Methods and Results We used data from the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study) to determine the degree to which baseline NT -pro BNP levels mediate the relationships between race and incident AF and CHF by comparing beta estimates between models with and without NT -pro BNP . The ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study was used to assess reproducibility. Among 4731 CHS (770 black) and 12 418 ARIC (3091 black) participants, there were 1277 and 1253 incident AF events, respectively. Whites had higher baseline NT -pro BNP ( CHS : 40% higher than blacks; 95% CI , 29-53; ARIC : 39% higher; 95% CI , 33-46) and had a greater risk of incident AF compared with blacks ( CHS : adjusted hazard ratio, 1.60; 95% CI , 1.31-1.93; ARIC : hazard ratio, 1.93; 95% CI , 1.57-2.27). NT -pro BNP levels explained a significant proportion of the racial difference in AF risk ( CHS : 36.2%; 95% CI , 23.2-69.2%; ARIC : 24.6%; 95% CI , 14.8-39.6%). Contrary to our hypothesis, given an increased risk of CHF among whites in CHS (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% CI , 1.05-1.47) and the absence of a significant association between race and CHF in ARIC (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI , 0.94-1.23), CHF -related mediation analyses were not performed. Conclusions A substantial portion of the relationship between race and AF was statistically explained by baseline NT -pro BNP levels. No consistent relationship between race and CHF was observed.

Indexed as

Black or African AmericanWhite PeopleAgedAtrial FibrillationFemaleHeart FailureHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsProportional Hazards ModelsUnited StatesNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)atrial fibrillation arrhythmiacongestive heart failuremechanismsmediationnatriuretic peptideNT‐proBNP

Identifiers

PMID30912456
PMCPMC6509704
OpenAlexW2924469425

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.