Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30910644›Full record

ArticleEpidemics2019

Estimating age-mixing patterns relevant for the transmission of airborne infections.

Nicky McCreesh, Carl Morrow, Keren Middelkoop, Robin Wood, Richard G White

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Prevalence and Risk Factors forOpen forum infectious diseases · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nicky McCreeshDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK. Electronic address: Nicky.mccreesh@lshtm.ac.uk.
Carl MorrowThe Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine and Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Keren MiddelkoopThe Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine and Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Robin WoodThe Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine and Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Richard G WhiteDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/N014693/1Medical Research Council MR/P002404/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAge-mixing patterns can have substantial effects on infectious disease dynamics and intervention effects. Data on close contacts (people spoken to and/or touched) are often used to estimate age-mixing. These are not the only relevant contacts for airborne infections such as tuberculosis, where transmission can occur between anybody 'sharing air' indoors. Directly collecting data on age-mixing patterns between casual contacts (shared indoor space, but not 'close') is difficult however. We demonstrate a method for indirectly estimating age-mixing patterns between casual indoor contacts from social contact data.

methodsWe estimated age-mixing patterns between close, casual, and all contacts using data from a social contact survey in South Africa. The age distribution of casual contacts in different types of location was estimated from the reported time spent in the location type by respondents in each age group.

resultsPatterns of age-mixing calculated from contact numbers were similar between close and all contacts, however patterns of age-mixing calculated from contact time were more age-assortative in all contacts than in close contacts. There was also more variation by age group in total numbers of casual and all contacts, than in total numbers of close contacts. Estimates were robust to sensitivity analyses.

conclusionsPatterns of age-mixing can be estimated for all contacts using data that can be easily collected as part of social contact surveys or time-use surveys, and may differ from patterns between close contacts.

Indexed as

Social BehaviorAdolescentAdultAge DistributionAlgorithmsChildChild, PreschoolCommunicable DiseasesContact TracingFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMiddle AgedSouth AfricaAge-mixingAirborne infectionMathematical modellingSocial contactTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID30910644
PMCPMC6731521

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.