Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30898829›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Does cigarette demand respond to price increases in Uganda? Price elasticity estimates using the Uganda National Panel Survey and Deaton's method.

Grieve Chelwa, Corne van Walbeek

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
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  5. Cigarette Prices and Smoking Experimentation Among Zimbabwean Children: A Survival Analysis of the 2014 Global Youth Tobacco Survey.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Effect of cigarette prices on cigarette consumption in Ghana.Drug and alcohol dependence reports · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Cigarette Prices and Smoking Among Youth in 16 African Countries: Evidence From the Global Youth Tobacco Survey.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Effects of Prices on Youth Cigarette Smoking and Tobacco Use Initiation in Ghana and Nigeria.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Grieve ChelwaGraduate School of Business, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Corne van WalbeekSchool of Economics, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo provide the first published estimates of the price elasticity of demand for cigarettes in Uganda and thereby contribute to growing the evidence base of the likely impact of excise taxes on cigarette consumption and tax revenues in Sub-Saharan Africa.

methodWe use a linear approximation of the Almost Ideal Demand System along with expenditure data from the Uganda National Panel Survey and exploit the fact that prices of cigarettes vary across geographical space in Uganda.

resultsWe find that cigarettes are price inelastic in Uganda with elasticity estimates ranging between -0.26 and -0.33. That is, we expect that cigarette demand will decline by between 2.6% and 3.3% every time cigarette prices rise by 10%. These elasticity estimates are in line with international evidence and are robust to outliers in the data.

conclusionOur estimates of the price elasticity of demand for cigarettes suggest that the authorities in Uganda can reduce cigarette consumption and simultaneously increase tax revenues by increasing the excise taxes on cigarettes.

Indexed as

CommerceFamily CharacteristicsHumansSmokingSurveys and QuestionnairesTaxesTobacco ProductsUgandaeconomicspricepublic policytaxation

Identifiers

PMID30898829
PMCPMC6475351

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.