ArticleThe Science of the total environment2019
The effects of multiyear and seasonal weather factors on incidence of Lyme disease and its vector in New York State.
Article in The Science of the total environment, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.
- Epidemiology and risk analysis of Powassan virus infection, New York state, USA, 2013-2023.Epidemiology and infection · 2026Article
- Predictive temperature-dependency of tick questing activity in France and relevance to Lyme disease risk in Connecticut.Experimental & applied acarology · 2025Article
- Assessing the Influence of Climate Change and Environmental Factors on the Top Tick-Borne Diseases in the United States: A Systematic Review.Microorganisms · 2023Review
- Collaborative Modeling of the Tick-Borne Disease Social-Ecological System: A Conceptual Framework.EcoHealth · 2023Review
- Detection of Wuchereria bancrofti in human blood samples and mosquitoes in Matayos, Busia County-Kenya.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Seasonal activity patterns of host-seeking Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) in Minnesota, 2015-2017.Journal of medical entomology · 2023Article
- Spatiotemporal distribution of Borrelia miyamotoi (Spirochaetales: Spirochaetaceae) and coinfection with other tick-borne pathogens in host-seeking Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) from New York State, USA.Journal of medical entomology · 2023Article
- Passive Surveillance of Human-BitingInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Spatial variation in risk for tick-borne diseases in residential areas of Dutchess County, New York.PloS one · 2023Article
- Climate Change Drives the Transmission and Spread of Vector-Borne Diseases: An Ecological Perspective.Biology · 2022Article
- A novel laboratory method to simulate climatic stress with successful application to experiments with medically relevant ticks.PloS one · 2022Article
- Epidemiology and Spatial Emergence of Anaplasmosis, New York, USA, 2010‒2018.Emerging infectious diseases · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundMore frequent extreme weather and warmer weather due to climate change might change the spatiotemporal distributions of vector-borne diseases, including Lyme disease. However, limited studies have examined the associations of Lyme disease and its vectors with weather factors, especially multi-year and multi-weather factors related to vector life cycle.
objectivesWe investigated the associations between multi-year, unique weather indicators (relevant to tick and host activities) and Lyme disease incidence or documented I. scapularis encounters in New York State (NYS).
methodsUsing a generalized estimating equation model, we linked Lyme disease and tick (I. scapularis) data, obtained from the NYS Department of Health (NYSDOH) Communicable Disease Surveillance and Tick Identification Service, with weather data. We used a season-specific exposure index by considering days in different seasons with certain temperature and precipitation ranges, summer Palmer Hydrological Drought Index, and fitted linear regression models using generalized estimating equations.
resultsLyme disease and I. scapularis encounters were modestly correlated (Spearman correlation = 0.60, p-value <0.001). The results indicate that summer Lyme disease cases and tick encounters may increase by 4-10%, per one day in spring with a minimum temperature range between 40 and 50 °F in the year of diagnosis and previous year. A day increase in summer with maximum temperature > 75 °F in the previous year was associated with 2% increase in summer disease counts. Mild winter days were associated with an increase in summer tick encounters.
conclusionsExtended spring and summer days and mild winter temperatures appear to increase Lyme disease cases and tick exposure risk in NYS.
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