Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30891255›Full record

ArticleRoyal Society open science2019

Contact chains of cattle farms in Great Britain.

Helen R Fielding, Trevelyan J McKinley, Matthew J Silk, Richard J Delahay, Robbie A McDonald

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Royal Society open science, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020
    Article
  10. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Helen R FieldingEnvironment and Sustainability Institute, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn TR10 9FE, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7041-1380
Trevelyan J McKinleyCollege of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn TR10 9FE, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9485-3236
Matthew J SilkEnvironment and Sustainability Institute, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn TR10 9FE, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8318-5383
Richard J DelahayAnimal and Plant Health Agency, Woodchester Park, Nympsfield, Stonehouse GL10 3UJ, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5863-0820
Robbie A McDonaldEnvironment and Sustainability Institute, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn TR10 9FE, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6922-3195

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Network analyses can assist in predicting the course of epidemics. Time-directed paths or 'contact chains' provide a measure of host-connectedness across specified timeframes, and so represent potential pathways for spread of infections with different epidemiological characteristics. We analysed networks and contact chains of cattle farms in Great Britain using Cattle Tracing System data from 2001 to 2015. We focused on the potential for between-farm transmission of bovine tuberculosis, a chronic infection with potential for hidden spread through the network. Networks were characterized by scale-free type properties, where individual farms were found to be influential 'hubs' in the network. We found a markedly bimodal distribution of farms with either small or very large ingoing and outgoing contact chains (ICCs and OCCs). As a result of their cattle purchases within 12-month periods, 47% of British farms were connected by ICCs to more than 1000 other farms and 16% were connected to more than 10 000 other farms. As a result of their cattle sales within 12-month periods, 66% of farms had OCCs that reached more than 1000 other farms and 15% reached more than 10 000 other farms. Over 19 000 farms had both ICCs and OCCs reaching more than 10 000 farms for two or more years. While farms with more contacts in their ICCs

Indexed as

cattlecontact chainsepidemiologynetwork analysissuperspreader

Identifiers

PMID30891255
PMCPMC6408381

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.