Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30890153›Full record

ArticleTheoretical biology & medical modelling2019

Quantifying heterogeneous contact patterns in Japan: a social contact survey.

Lankeshwara Munasinghe, Yusuke Asai, Hiroshi Nishiura

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Theoretical biology & medical modelling, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

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  11. Monitoring the COVID-19 immune landscape in Japan.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Welfare economics of managing an epidemic: an exposition.Japanese economic review (Oxford, England) · 2021
    Article
  18. COVID-19 and output in Japan.Japanese economic review (Oxford, England) · 2021
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  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lankeshwara MunasingheGraduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita 15 Jo Nishi 7 Chome, Sapporo, Japan.
Yusuke AsaiGraduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita 15 Jo Nishi 7 Chome, Sapporo, Japan.
Hiroshi NishiuraGraduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita 15 Jo Nishi 7 Chome, Sapporo, Japan. nishiurah@med.hokudai.ac.jp.ORCID 0000-0003-0941-8537

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSocial contact surveys can greatly help in quantifying the heterogeneous patterns of infectious disease transmission. The present study aimed to conduct a contact survey in Japan, offering estimates of contact by age and location and validating a social contact matrix using a seroepidemiological dataset of influenza.

methodsAn internet-based questionnaire survey was conducted, covering all 47 prefectures in Japan and including a total of 1476 households. The social contact matrix was quantified assuming reciprocity and using the maximum likelihood method. By imposing several parametric assumptions for the next-generation matrix, the empirical seroepidemiological data of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 was analysed and we estimated the basic reproduction number, R

resultsIn total, the reported number of contacts on weekdays was 10,682 whereas that on weekend days was 8867. Strong age-dependent assortativity was identified. Forty percent of weekday contacts took place at schools or workplaces, but that declined to 14% on weekends. Accounting for the age-dependent heterogeneity with the known social contact matrix, the minimum value of the Akaike information criterion was obtained and R

conclusionsSurvey datasets will be useful for parameterizing the heterogeneous transmission model of various directly transmitted infectious diseases in Japan. Age-dependent assortativity, especially among children, along with numerous contacts in school settings on weekdays implies the potential effectiveness of school closure.

Indexed as

Interpersonal RelationsModels, TheoreticalAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHealth SurveysHumansInfantInfant, NewbornInfluenza, HumanJapanMaleCumulative incidenceEpidemicEpidemiological modelInfluenzaMathematical model

Identifiers

PMID30890153
PMCPMC6425701

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.