Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30888979›Full record

ArticleDiseases of the colon and rectum2019

Risk of Invasive Anal Cancer in HIV-Infected Patients With High-Grade Anal Dysplasia: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Yotam Arens, Michael Gaisa, Stephen E Goldstone, Yuxin Liu, Juan Wisnivesky, Carlie S Sigel, Talia H Swartz, Keith Sigel

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Diseases of the colon and rectum, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. A Cross-Sectional Study of the Prevalence of Anal Dysplasia among Women with High-Grade Cervical, Vaginal, and Vulvar Dysplasia or Cancer: The PANDA Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Anal dysplasia and anal cancer. English version.Der Hautarzt; Zeitschrift fur Dermatologie, Venerologie, und verwandte Gebiete · 2020
    Review
  13. [Anal dysplasia and anal cancer].Der Hautarzt; Zeitschrift fur Dermatologie, Venerologie, und verwandte Gebiete · 2020
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yotam ArensDivision of General Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Michael GaisaDivision of Infectious Disease, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Stephen E GoldstoneDepartment of Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Yuxin LiuDepartment of Pathology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Juan WisniveskyDivision of General Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Carlie S SigelDepartment of Pathology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Talia H SwartzDivision of Infectious Disease, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
Keith SigelDivision of General Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Purinergic signaling in HIV-1 infection and inflammationK08AI120806 · NIAID · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI SWARTZ, TALIA H · 2016 to 2020
$878k
The Cost-Effectiveness of Lung Cancer Screening in HIV InfectionK07CA180782 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI SIGEL, KEITH MAGNUS · 2014 to 2018
$646k
NCI NIH HHS K07 CA180782NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NIAID NIH HHS K08 AI120806
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe progression rate and predictors of anal dysplastic lesions to squamous cell carcinoma of the anus remain unclear. Characterizing these parameters may help refine anal cancer screening guidelines.

objectiveThis study aimed to determine the rate of progression of high-grade anal dysplasia to invasive carcinoma in HIV-infected persons.

designUsing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database linked to Medicare claims from 2000 to 2011, we identified HIV-infected subjects with incident anal intraepithelial neoplasia III. To estimate the rate of progression of anal intraepithelial neoplasia III to invasive cancer, we calculated the cumulative incidence of anal cancer in this cohort. We then fitted Poisson models to evaluate the potential risk factors for incident anal cancer. SETTINGS: This is a population-based study. PATIENTS: Included were 592 HIV-infected subjects with incident anal intraepithelial neoplasia III.

main outcome measuresThe primary outcome measured was incident squamous cell carcinoma of the anus.

resultsStudy subjects were largely male (95%) with a median age of 45.7 years. Within the median follow-up period of 69 months, 33 subjects progressed to anal cancer. The incidence of anal cancer was 1.2% (95% CI, 0.7%-2.5%) and 5.7% (95% CI, 4.0%-8.1%) at 1 and 5 years, following a diagnosis of anal intraepithelial neoplasia III. Risk of progression did not differ by anal intraepithelial neoplasia III treatment status. On unadjusted analysis, black race (p = 0.02) and a history of anogenital condylomata (p = 0.03) were associated with an increased risk of anal cancer incidence, whereas prior anal cytology screening was associated with a decreased risk (p = 0.04). LIMITATIONS: The identification of some incident cancer episodes used surrogate measures.

conclusionsIn our population-based cohort of HIV-infected subjects with long-term follow-up, the risk of progression from anal intraepithelial neoplasia III to anal squamous cell carcinoma was higher than reported in other studies and was not associated with the receipt of anal intraepithelial neoplasia III treatment. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A933.

Indexed as

HIVSEER ProgramAdultAnal CanalAnus NeoplasmsDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPopulation SurveillancePrecancerous ConditionsRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID30888979
PMCPMC6613994

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.