Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30887032›Full record

ArticleNicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco2020

Evaluating a Real World Ban on Menthol Cigarettes: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis of Sales.

Michael Chaiton, Robert Schwartz, Jennifer Shuldiner, Gabrielle Tremblay, Robert Nugent

Open access · hybridAbstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Impact of Menthol Cigarette Bans: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  12. Multiple Tobacco Product Use Conceptual Framework: A 2021 Update on Evidence.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2022
    Review
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  16. A Comprehensive Qualitative Review of Studies Evaluating the Impact of Local US Laws Restricting the Sale of Flavored and Menthol Tobacco Products.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2022
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Assessing the Health and Economic Impact of a Potential Menthol Cigarette Ban in New York City: a Modeling Study.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Michael ChaitonOntario Tobacco Research Unit, Ontario, Canada.
Robert SchwartzOntario Tobacco Research Unit, Ontario, Canada.
Jennifer ShuldinerOntario Tobacco Research Unit, Ontario, Canada.
Gabrielle TremblayOffice of Research and Surveillance, Tobacco Control Directorate, Health Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Robert NugentOffice of Research and Surveillance, Tobacco Control Directorate, Health Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
University of Toronto · CAHealth Canada · CA

Funding

Evaluation of Canada's Menthol BanR21DA047358 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO · PI CHAITON, MICHAEL · 2018 to 2019
$274k
NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA047358
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMenthol in cigarettes has been shown to increase regular cigarette smoking and nicotine dependence, and decrease success in smoking cessation. Owing to these reasons, in May 2015, the province of Ontario introduced a menthol ban on tobacco products that came into effect in January 2017 prior to a Federal Canadian Ban in October 2017. The objective of this article was to assess the effect of a provincial menthol ban on cigarette wholesale sales in Ontario.

methodsWholesale data submitted by tobacco manufacturers to Health Canada pursuant to the federal Tobacco Reporting Regulations from October 2012 to September 2017 were analyzed using interrupted time-series analysis. Changes in sales of cigarettes with and without menthol were estimated, using the province of British Columbia as a comparison. Analyses were seasonally adjusted.

resultsSales of menthol and nonmenthol cigarettes increased from 2013 until the implementation of the 2017 provincial ban. Subsequently, a sharp decline of 55 million menthol cigarettes and 128 million total cigarettes was observed in Ontario. As a comparison, no significant changes were observed in British Columbia.

conclusionThis study supports the conclusion that implementation of a menthol ban in Ontario was associated with significant reduction of menthol cigarette sales and total cigarettes sales, compared to British Columbia where there was no provincial menthol ban. This suggests that menthol regulations in jurisdictions with a larger percentage of menthol smokers are likely to be highly effective. IMPLICATIONS: The 2017 menthol ban was associated with significant reduction of menthol cigarette sales and total cigarette sales suggesting that menthol regulations will have important effects on cigarette consumption.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAntipruriticsCommerceFemaleHumansInterrupted Time Series AnalysisMaleMentholMiddle AgedOntarioSmokersSmoking CessationTobacco IndustryTobacco ProductsAntipruriticsMenthol

Identifiers

PMID30887032
PMCPMC7164577
OpenAlexW2924554404

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.