ReviewPloS one2019
Using mathematical modeling to inform health policy: A case study from voluntary medical male circumcision scale-up in eastern and southern Africa and proposed framework for success.
Review in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Web-based models to inform health policy: A scoping review.Health research policy and systems · 2025Article
- Ethics of Mathematical Modeling in Public Health: The Case of Medical Male Circumcision for HIV Prevention in Africa.Public health ethics · 2024Article
- Understanding the Evolving Role of Voluntary Medical Male Circumcision as a Public Health Strategy in Eastern and Southern Africa: Opportunities and Challenges.Current HIV/AIDS reports · 2022Review
- A data driven policy to minimise the tuberculosis testing cost among healthcare workers.The International journal of health planning and management · 2022Article
- Challenges of using modelling evidence in the visceral leishmaniasis elimination programme in India.PLOS global public health · 2022Article
- Sexually transmitted infections (STI) and antenatal care (ANC) clinics in Malawi: effective platforms for improving engagement of men at high HIV risk with voluntary medical male circumcision services.Sexually transmitted infections · 2021Article
- COVID-19 and dengue co-infection in Brazil: optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis.European physical journal plus · 2021Article
- Meta-Decision in Healthcare.Frontiers in public health · 2021Review
- Bringing a health systems modelling approach to complex evaluations: multicountry applications in HIV, TB and malaria.BMJ global health · 2020Article
- Possible fates of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the Mexican context.Royal Society open science · 2020Article
- Applied mathematical modelling to inform national malaria policies, strategies and operations in Tanzania.Malaria journal · 2020Article
- Trends in HIV Prevention, Treatment, and Incidence in a Hyperendemic Area of KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.JAMA network open · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundModeling contributes to health program planning by allowing users to estimate future outcomes that are otherwise difficult to evaluate. However, modeling results are often not easily translated into practical policies. This paper examines the barriers and enabling factors that can allow models to better inform health decision-making. DESCRIPTION: The Decision Makers' Program Planning Tool (DMPPT) and its successor, DMPPT 2, are illustrative examples of modeling tools that have been used to inform health policy. Their use underpinned Voluntary Medical Male Circumcision (VMMC) scale-up for HIV prevention in southern and eastern Africa. Both examine the impact and cost-effectiveness of VMMC scale-up, with DMPPT used initially in global advocacy and DMPPT 2 then providing VMMC coverage estimates by client age and subnational region for use in country-specific program planning. Their application involved three essential steps: identifying and engaging a wide array of stakeholders from the outset, reaching consensus on key assumptions and analysis plans, and convening data validation meetings with critical stakeholders. The subsequent DMPPT 2 Online is a user-friendly tool for in-country modeling analyses and continuous program planning and monitoring. LESSONS LEARNED: Through three iterations of the DMPPT applied to VMMC, a comprehensive framework with six steps was identified: (1) identify a champion, (2) engage stakeholders early and often, (3) encourage consensus, (4) customize analyses, (5), build capacity, and (6) establish a plan for sustainability. This framework could be successfully adapted to other HIV prevention programs to translate modeling results to policy and programming.
conclusionsModels can be used to mobilize support, strategically plan, and monitor key programmatic elements, but they can also help inform policy environments in which programs are conceptualized and implemented to achieve results. The ways in which modeling has informed VMMC programs and policy may be applicable to an array of other health interventions.
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Registered trials
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