Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30878508›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of arthroplasty2019

Changes in Discharge to Rehabilitation: Potential Unintended Consequences of Medicare Total Hip Arthroplasty/Total Knee Arthroplasty Bundled Payments, Should They Be Implemented on a Nationwide Scale?

Cheryl K Zogg, Jason R Falvey, Justin B Dimick, Adil H Haider, Kimberly A Davis, Johnathan N Grauer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of arthroplasty, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Early Readmission and Revision After Total Joint Arthroplasty: An Analysis of Cause and Cost.HSS journal : the musculoskeletal journal of Hospital for Special Surgery · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Cheryl K ZoggDepartment of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT; Department of Orthopaedics & Rehabilitation, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT; Center for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Jason R FalveyDivision of Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
Justin B DimickCenter for Healthcare Outcomes and Policy, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Adil H HaiderCenter for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Kimberly A DavisDepartment of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
Johnathan N GrauerDepartment of Orthopaedics & Rehabilitation, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
MEDICAL SCIENTIST TRAINING PROGRAMT32GM007205 · NIGMS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KAZMIERCZAK, BARBARA I · 1985 to 2019
$42.9M
Yale Training Program in Geriatric Clinical Epidemiology and Aging-Related ResearchT32AG019134 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Terri R. Fried · 2001 to 2026
$7.5M
The ED.TRAUMA Study: Evaluating the Discordance ofTrauma Readmission And Unanticipated Mortality in the Assessment of hospital qualityF30AG066371 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ZOGG, CHERYL K · 2019 to 2022
$163k
Impact of impaired physical function on emergency room utilization, hospitalization, and nursing home admission in community-based long-term settingsF31AG056069 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI FALVEY, JASON RAYMOND · 2017 to 2017
$29k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIA NIH HHS F30 AG066371NIA NIH HHS F31 AG056069NIA NIH HHS L30 AG057095NIA NIH HHS T32 AG019134NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM007205
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAs a part of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, Medicare was committed to changing 50% of its reimbursement to alternative payment models by 2018. One strategy included introduction of "bundled payments" or a fixed price for an episode of care. Early studies of the first operative bundles for elective total hip and knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA) suggest changes in discharge to rehabilitation. It remains unclear the extent to which such changes affect patient well-being. In order to address these concerns, the objective of this study is to estimate projected changes in discharge to various type of rehabilitation, 90-day outcomes, extent of therapy received, and patient health-related quality-of-life before and after introduction of bundled payments should they be implemented on a nationwide scale.

methodsA nationwide policy simulation was conducted using decision-tree methodology in order to estimate changes in overt and patient-centered outcomes. Model parameters were informed by published research on bundled payment effects and anticipated outcomes of patients discharged to various types of rehabilitation.

resultsFollowing bundled payment introduction, discharge to inpatient rehabilitation facilities decreased by 16.9 percentage-points (95% confidence interval [CI] 16.5-17.3) among primary TKA patients (THA 16.8 percentage-points), a relative decline from baseline of 58.9%. Skilled nursing facility use fell by 24.0 percentage-points (95% CI 23.6-24.4). It was accompanied by a 36.7 percentage-point (95% CI 36.3-37.2) increase in home health agency use. Although simulation models predicted minimal changes in overt outcome measures such as unplanned readmission (TKA +0.8 percentage-points), changes in discharge disposition were accompanied by significant increases in the need for further assistive care (TKA +8.0 percentage-points) and decreases in patients' functional recovery and extent of therapy received. They collectively accounted for a 30% reduction in recovered motor gains.

conclusionThe results demonstrate substantial changes in discharge to rehabilitation with accompanying declines in average functional outcomes, extent of therapy received, and health-related quality-of-life. Such findings challenge notions of reduced cost at no harm previously attributed to the bundled payment program and lend credence to concerns about reductions in access to facility-based rehabilitation.

Indexed as

Reimbursement MechanismsAgedArthroplasty, Replacement, HipArthroplasty, Replacement, KneeComputer SimulationDecision TreesElective Surgical ProceduresHumansMedicareMiddle AgedMonte Carlo MethodPatient DischargePatient Protection and Affordable Care ActPatient ReadmissionQuality of LifeRehabilitationbundled paymentmedicarephysical therapyquality-of-liferehabilitationTHA/TKA

Identifiers

PMID30878508
PMCPMC6884960

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.