Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30877292›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2019

Signals Among Signals: Prioritizing Nongenetic Associations in Massive Data Sets.

Arjun K Manrai, John P A Ioannidis, Chirag J Patel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Human Plasma Proteomics Links Modifiable Lifestyle Exposome to Disease Risk.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Epidemiology: Back to the Future.American journal of epidemiology · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Arjun K ManraiComputational Health Informatics Program, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston Massachusetts.
John P A IoannidisStanford Prevention Research Center, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California.
Chirag J PatelDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.

Funding

Big Data Analysis of HIV Risk and Epidemiology in Sub-Saharan AfricaR01AI127250 · NIAID · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI BENDAVID, ERAN, PATEL, CHIRAG J. · 2017 to 2020
$2.7M
Precision Cardiovascular Medicine for Multi-Ethnic PopulationsK01HL138259 · NHLBI · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI MANRAI, ARJUN KUMAR · 2018 to 2022
$801k
Data-driven identification of environmental factors in cardiovascular diseaseR00ES023504 · NIEHS · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI PATEL, CHIRAG J. · 2016 to 2018
$728k
Increasing the power of GxE detection by using multi-locus genome-wide predictorsR21ES025052 · NIEHS · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI PATEL, CHIRAG J. · 2015 to 2017
$434k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL138259NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI127250NIEHS NIH HHS R00 ES023504NIEHS NIH HHS R21 ES025052
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Massive data sets are often regarded as a panacea to the underpowered studies of the past. At the same time, it is becoming clear that in many of these data sets in which thousands of variables are measured across hundreds of thousands or millions of individuals, almost any desired relationship can be inferred with a suitable combination of covariates or analytic choices. Inspired by the genome-wide association study analysis paradigm that has transformed human genetics, X-wide association studies or "XWAS" have emerged as a popular approach to systematically analyzing nongenetic data sets and guarding against false positives. However, these studies often yield hundreds or thousands of associations characterized by modest effect sizes and miniscule P values. Many of these associations will be spurious and emerge due to confounding and other biases. One way of characterizing confounding in the genomics paradigm is the genomic inflation factor. An analogous "X-wide inflation factor," denoted λX, can be defined and applied to published XWAS. Effects that arise in XWAS may be prioritized using replication, triangulation, quantification of measurement error, contextualization of each effect in the distribution of all effect sizes within a field, and pre-registration. Criteria like those of Bradford Hill need to be reconsidered in light of exposure-wide epidemiology to prioritize signals among signals.

Indexed as

Big DataData Interpretation, StatisticalEpidemiologic Research DesignMachine LearningBiostatisticsConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicHumansModels, Statisticalbig datainflation factormachine learningP valuesX-wide association study

Identifiers

PMID30877292
PMCPMC6494664

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.