Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30877289›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2019

Systems Modeling to Advance the Promise of Data Science in Epidemiology.

Magdalena Cerdá, Katherine M Keyes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. Explaining "U-shaped" distributions of population substance use with a simple computational approach.Journal of artificial societies and social simulation : JASSS · 2025
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  7. Review
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  19. Epidemiology: Back to the Future.American journal of epidemiology · 2019
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Magdalena CerdáDepartment of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, New York, New York.
Katherine M KeyesDepartment of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York.

Funding

Substance abuse history, mental health and firearm violence: from evidence to actionR21DA041154 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI CERDA, MAGDALENA, KEYES, KATHERINE M. · 2016 to 2017
$440k
NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA041154
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Systems science models use computer-based algorithms to model dynamic interactions between study units within and across levels and are characterized by nonlinear and feedback processes. They are particularly valuable approaches that complement the traditional epidemiologic toolbox in cases in which real data are not available and in cases in which traditional epidemiologic methods are limited by issues such as interference, spatial dependence, and dynamic feedback processes. In this commentary, we propose 2 key contributions that systems models can make to epidemiology: 1) the ability to test assumptions about underlying mechanisms that give rise to population distributions of disease; and 2) help in identifying the types of interventions that have the greatest potential to reduce population rates of disease in the future or in new sites where they have not yet been implemented. We discuss central challenges in the application of systems science approaches in epidemiology, propose potential solutions, and predict future developments in the role that systems science can play in epidemiology.

Indexed as

Epidemiologic MethodsSystems TheoryAlgorithmsCausalityConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicData ScienceHumansReproducibility of Resultsagent-based modelscomplex systemspublic healthsystems science

Identifiers

PMID30877289
PMCPMC6494667

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.