Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30875647›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2019

Non drug-related and opioid-specific causes of 3262 deaths in Scotland's methadone-prescription clients, 2009-2015.

Lu Gao, J Roy Robertson, Sheila M Bird

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Lu GaoMRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge CB2 0SR, United Kingdom.
J Roy RobertsonUniversity of Edinburgh Usher Institute, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, United Kingdom.
Sheila M BirdMRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge CB2 0SR, United Kingdom; University of Edinburgh Centre for Medical Informatics, Edinburgh EH16 4UX, United Kingdom. Electronic address: sheila.bird@mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk.
University of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOpioid drug use is a major cause of premature mortality, with opioid substitution therapy the leading intervention. As methadone-clients age, non-drug-related deaths (non-DRDs) predominate and DRD-risks increase differentially, quadrupling at 45+ years for methadone-specific DRDs.

methods36,606 methadone-prescription-clients in Scotland during 2009-2015 were linked to mortality records to end-2015 by their Community Health Index (CHI). Cohort-entry, also baseline quantity of prescribed methadone, were defined by clients' first CHI-identified methadone-prescription during 2009-2015. National Records of Scotland identified non-DRDs from DRDs; and provided ICD10 codes for underlying and co-present causes of death. Methadone-specific DRD means methadone was implicated in DRD but neither heroin nor buprenorphine.

resultsDuring 193,800 person-years of follow-up, 1939 non-DRDs (59%) and 1323 DRDs occurred, of which 546 were methadone-specific. Predominant underlying ICD10 chapters for non-DRDs were: neoplasm (377); external causes (341); diseases of digestive (303), circulatory (286) or respiratory (212) system. As methadone-clients aged, the non-DRD proportion of their deaths increased from 54% (717/1318) at 35-44 years to 89% (372/417) at 55+ years. After allowing for DRDs' opioid-specificity, age-group and quintile for last-prescribed methadone, there was a significant, positive interaction for co-present circulatory disease between top-quintile for prescribed methadone and 45+ years at death (p = 0.033 after Bonferroni); not for digestive or respiratory co-presence.

conclusionsCirculatory disease is the co-morbidity most likely implicated in the quadrupling of methadone-specific DRD-risk at 45+ years; followed by digestive disease. Cultural shift is needed in treatment-services because degenerative non-DRDs predominate as methadone-clients age. Future linkage-studies should access hospitalizations and methadone-daily-dose.

Indexed as

AdultAnalgesics, OpioidBuprenorphineCause of DeathCohort StudiesFemaleHeroinHumansMaleMental Status and Dementia TestsMethadoneMiddle AgedNeurocognitive DisordersOpiate Substitution TreatmentOpioid-Related DisordersScotlandAnalgesics, OpioidBuprenorphineHeroinMethadoneAge-groupAge-related predominance of non drug-related deathsCo-present circulatory, respiratory or digestive diseaseDrugs-related deathsInteraction between quantity and age-groupMethadone clientsMethadone-specific deathsQuantity of prescribed methadone

Identifiers

PMID30875647
PMCPMC6445802
OpenAlexW2916226617

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.