ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2019
Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer Mortality by Achieving Healthy Dietary Goals for the Swedish Population: A Macro-Simulation Modelling Study.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Folate and global health umbrella review series, part 2: syntheses on cancers.Journal of global health · 2026Pooled it
- Modeled impacts of substituting meat and dairy with plant-based substitutes on risk of nutrient deficiency and chronic disease-related mortality: a microsimulation study in French adults.The American journal of clinical nutrition · 2025Article
- An unbiased, sustainable, evidence-informed Universal Food Guide: a timely template for national food guides.Nutrition journal · 2024Review
- Longitudinal study of gut microbiome in obsessive-compulsive disorder.Brain and behavior · 2023Article
- Modelling the impact of sodium intake on cardiovascular disease mortality in Mexico.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Estimating the dietary and health impact of implementing front-of-pack nutrition labeling in Canada: A macrosimulation modeling study.Frontiers in nutrition · 2023Article
- Estimation of the economic benefits for the public health system related to salt reduction in Costa Rica.PloS one · 2023Article
- Article
- Article
- Public health potential of guidelines-based dietary scores for non-communicable diseases mortality prevention: simulation study using the Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl (PRIME) model.Public health nutrition · 2021Article
- Potential health impact of increasing adoption of sustainable dietary practices in Sweden.BMC public health · 2021Article
- Impact of salt intake reduction on CVD mortality in Costa Rica: A scenario modelling study.PloS one · 2021Article
- Modelling the Effect of Compliance with Nordic Nutrition Recommendations on Cardiovascular Disease and Cancer Mortality in the Nordic Countries.Nutrients · 2019Article
- Review
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The objective is to estimate the number of deaths attributable to cardiovascular diseases and diet-related cancers that could be prevented or delayed in Sweden if adults adhere to the official dietary recommendations. We used an age-group and sex-specific epidemiological macro-simulation model to estimate preventable deaths due to the discrepancies between actual intake and recommended intake of changes in food components. Data included in the model are a baseline scenario (actual dietary intake), a counterfactual scenario (recommended intake) and age- and sex-specific mortality for cardiovascular and diet-related cancer diseases together compared with the total population risk of a specific year. Monte Carlo analyses with 5000 iterations was performed to produce the 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). The model predicts that 6405 (95% UI: 5086⁻7086) deaths could be prevented or delayed if the Swedish population could adhere to official dietary recommendations in a year. More deaths would be saved for men than women. The recommendations for fruits and vegetables could have saved 47% of the deaths, followed by fiber intake (32%). For men, fruits and vegetables could have saved more compared to other dietary components, while for women dietary fiber was the prominent factor. Public health policies should consider ensuring healthy eating practices for the Swedish population.
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