ArticleScientific reports2019
Effects of species traits and environmental predictors on performance and transferability of ecological niche models.
Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.
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Who cites it
21 citing papers in PubMed.
- Zoning of Integrated Quality Regions forBiology · 2026Article
- Phylogenetically close alien Asteraceae species with minimal niche overlap are more likely to invade.Plant diversity · 2025Article
- ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELING APPLICATIONS TO INFECTIOUS DISEASES.Biodiversity informatics · 2025Article
- Defining depth requirements to conserve fish assemblages from water take in an intermittent river.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Climatic niche shifts and ecological sky-island dynamics in Mesoamerican montane birds.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Assessing abundance-suitability models to prioritize conservation areas for the dwarf caimans in South America.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Rising Temperatures, Falling Leaves: Predicting the Fate of Cyprus's Endemic Oak under Climate and Land Use Change.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
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- Planktonic functional diversity changes in synchrony with lake ecosystem state.Global change biology · 2023Article
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- The role of climate change and niche shifts in divergent range dynamics of a sister-species pair.Peer community journal · 2023Article
- Envisaging a global infrastructure to exploit the potential of digitised collections.Biodiversity data journal · 2023Article
- Models of spatial analysis for vector-borne diseases studies: A systematic review.Veterinary world · 2022Article
- Climate change and alpine-adapted insects: modelling environmental envelopes of a grasshopper radiation.Royal Society open science · 2022Article
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- Drivers ofEcology and evolution · 2021Article
- Caution Is Needed When Using Niche Models to Infer Changes in Species Abundance: The Case of Two Sympatric Raptor Populations.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2021Article
- Global Invasion Risk Assessment ofBiology · 2021Article
- Spatial and evolutionary predictability of phytochemical diversity.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
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5 authors.
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Abstract
The ability of ecological niche models (ENMs) to produce robust predictions for different time frames (i.e. temporal transferability) may be hindered by a lack of ecologically relevant predictors. Model performance may also be affected by species traits, which may reflect different responses to processes controlling species distribution. In this study, we tested four primary hypotheses involving the role of species traits and environmental predictors in ENM performance and transferability. We compared the predictive accuracy of ENMs based upon (1) climate, (2) land-use/cover (LULC) and (3) ecosystem functional attributes (EFAs), and (4) the combination of these factors for 27 bird species within and beyond the time frame of model calibration. The combination of these factors significantly increased both model performance and transferability, highlighting the need to integrate climate, LULC and EFAs to improve biodiversity projections. However, the overall model transferability was low (being only acceptable for less than 25% of species), even under a hierarchical modelling approach, which calls for great caution in the use of ENMs to predict bird distributions under global change scenarios. Our findings also indicate that positive effects of species traits on predictive accuracy within model calibration are not necessarily translated into higher temporal transferability.
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