Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30862793›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2019

Extreme thermal fluctuations from climate change unexpectedly accelerate demographic collapse of vertebrates with temperature-dependent sex determination.

Nicole Valenzuela, Robert Literman, Jennifer L Neuwald, Beatriz Mizoguchi, John B Iverson, Julia L Riley, Jacqueline D Litzgus

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed.

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  13. Environmental (and Random?) Sex Determination in Endangered and Invasive Phelsuma Geckos.Sexual development : genetics, molecular biology, evolution, endocrinology, embryology, and pathology of sex determination and differentiation · 2024
    Article
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  17. Can nesting behaviour allow reptiles to adapt to climate change?Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Nicole ValenzuelaDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011, USA. nvalenzu@iastate.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-1148-631X
Robert LitermanDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011, USA.
Jennifer L NeuwaldDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011, USA.
Beatriz MizoguchiDepartment of Ecology, Evolution and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011, USA.
John B IversonDepartment of Biology, Earlham College, Richmond, Indiana, 47374, USA.
Julia L RileyDepartment of Botany and Zoology, Stellenbosch University, Matieland, 7602, Stellenbosch, Western Cape, 7600, South Africa.
Jacqueline D LitzgusDepartment of Biology, Laurentian University, Sudbury, Ontario, P3E 2C6, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global climate is warming rapidly, threatening vertebrates with temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD) by disrupting sex ratios and other traits. Less understood are the effects of increased thermal fluctuations predicted to accompany climate change. Greater fluctuations could accelerate feminization of species that produce females under warmer conditions (further endangering TSD animals), or counter it (reducing extinction risk). Here we use novel experiments exposing eggs of Painted Turtles (Chrysemys picta) to replicated profiles recorded in field nests plus mathematically-modified profiles of similar shape but wider oscillations, and develop a new mathematical model for analysis. We show that broadening fluctuations around naturally male-producing (cooler) profiles feminizes developing embryos, whereas embryos from warmer profiles remain female or die. This occurs presumably because wider oscillations around cooler profiles expose embryos to very low temperatures that inhibit development, and to feminizing temperatures where most embryogenesis accrues. Likewise, embryos incubated under broader fluctuations around warmer profiles experience mostly feminizing temperatures, some dangerously high (which increase mortality), and fewer colder values that are insufficient to induce male development. Therefore, as thermal fluctuations escalate with global warming, the feminization of TSD turtle populations could accelerate, facilitating extinction by demographic collapse. Aggressive global CO

Indexed as

Global WarmingAnimalsEmbryonic DevelopmentEmbryo, NonmammalianFemaleHot TemperatureMalePopulation DynamicsReptilesSex Determination ProcessesSex Ratio

Identifiers

PMID30862793
PMCPMC6414666

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.