Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30849954›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2019

Development and validation of case-finding algorithms for recurrence of breast cancer using routinely collected administrative data.

Yuan Xu, Shiying Kong, Winson Y Cheung, Antoine Bouchard-Fortier, Joseph C Dort, Hude Quan, Elizabeth M Buie, Geoff McKinnon, May Lynn Quan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yuan XuDepartment of Surgery, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada. yuxu@ucalgary.ca.
Shiying KongDepartment of Surgery, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.
Winson Y CheungDepartment of Community Health Science, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.
Antoine Bouchard-FortierDepartment of Surgery, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.
Joseph C DortDepartment of Surgery, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.
Hude QuanDepartment of Community Health Science, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.
Elizabeth M BuieDepartment of Surgery, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.
Geoff McKinnonDepartment of Surgery, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.
May Lynn QuanDepartment of Surgery, Foothills Medical Centre, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N4Z6, Canada.

Funding

Calgary Center For Clinical Research n/aCIHR Health System Impact Fellowship 201804HI7-406641-297889
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecurrence is not explicitly documented in cancer registry data that are widely used for research. Patterns of events after initial treatment such as oncology visits, re-operation, and receipt of subsequent chemotherapy or radiation may indicate recurrence. This study aimed to develop and validate algorithms for identifying breast cancer recurrence using routinely collected administrative data.

methodsThe study cohort included all young (≤ 40 years) breast cancer patients (2007-2010), and all patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (2012-2014) in Alberta, Canada. Health events (including mastectomy, chemotherapy, radiation, biopsy and specialist visits) were obtained from provincial administrative data. The algorithms were developed using classification and regression tree (CART) models and validated against primary chart review.

resultsAmong 598 patients, 121 (20.2%) had recurrence after a median follow-up of 4 years. The high sensitivity algorithm achieved 94.2% (95% CI: 90.1-98.4%) sensitivity, 93.7% (91.5-95.9%) specificity, 79.2% (72.5-85.8%) positive predictive value (PPV), and 98.5% (97.3-99.6%) negative predictive value (NPV). The high PPV algorithm had 75.2% (67.5-82.9%) sensitivity, 98.3% (97.2-99.5%) specificity, 91.9% (86.6-97.3%) PPV, and 94% (91.9-96.1%) NPV. Combining high PPV and high sensitivity algorithms with additional (7.5%) chart review to resolve discordant cases resulted in 94.2% (90.1-98.4%) sensitivity, 98.3% (97.2-99.5%) specificity, 93.4% (89.1-97.8%) PPV, and 98.5% (97.4-99.6%) NPV.

conclusionThe proposed algorithms based on routinely collected administrative data achieved favorably high validity for identifying breast cancer recurrences in a universal healthcare system in Canada.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsMedical Informatics ApplicationsAdultAlbertaBreast NeoplasmsCohort StudiesCombined Modality TherapyDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeoplasm StagingRegistriesReproducibility of ResultsSensitivity and SpecificityBreast cancer recurrenceCase-finding algorithmValidation study

Identifiers

PMID30849954
PMCPMC6408837

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.