Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30845940›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2019

Recursive neural networks in hospital bed occupancy forecasting.

Ekaterina Kutafina, Istvan Bechtold, Klaus Kabino, Stephan M Jonas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Forecasting hospital bed occupancy: a time series approach with prophet.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2026
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  11. Machine learning based forecast for the prediction of inpatient bed demand.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ekaterina KutafinaDepartment of Medical Informatics, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Pauwelsstrasse 30, 52057, Aachen, Germany. ekutafina@mi.rwth-aachen.de.ORCID 0000-0002-3430-5123
Istvan BechtoldSt. Marien- und St. Annastiftskrankenhaus, Salzburger Straße 15, 67067, Ludwigshafen, Germany.
Klaus KabinoDepartment of Medical Informatics, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Pauwelsstrasse 30, 52057, Aachen, Germany.
Stephan M JonasDepartment of Medical Informatics, Uniklinik RWTH Aachen, Pauwelsstrasse 30, 52057, Aachen, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEfficient planning of hospital bed usage is a necessary condition to minimize the hospital costs. In the presented work we deal with the problem of occupancy forecasting in the scale of several months, with a focus on personnel's holiday planning.

methodsWe construct a model based on a set of recursive neural networks, which performs an occupancy prediction using historical admission and release data combined with external factors such as public and school holidays. The model requires no personal information on patients or staff. It is optimized for a 60 days forecast during the summer season (May-September).

resultsAn average mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 6.24% was computed on 8 validation sets.

conclusionsThe proposed machine learning model has shown to be competitive to standard time-series forecasting models and can be recommended for incorporation in medium-size hospitals automatized scheduling and decision making.

Indexed as

Bed OccupancyHolidaysHospitalsMachine LearningModels, TheoreticalNeural Networks, ComputerForecastingHumansHospital bed occupancyNARXRecurrent neural networksTime series forecasting

Identifiers

PMID30845940
PMCPMC6407266

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.