Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30842410›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

Ecological niche modelling does not support climatically-driven dinosaur diversity decline before the Cretaceous/Paleogene mass extinction.

Alfio Alessandro Chiarenza, Philip D Mannion, Daniel J Lunt, Alex Farnsworth, Lewis A Jones, Sarah-Jane Kelland, Peter A Allison

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The body temperature ofScience advances · 2026
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  9. Tetrapod species-area relationships across the Cretaceous-Paleogene mass extinction.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
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  20. Low dinosaur biodiversity in central China 2 million years prior to the end-Cretaceous mass extinction.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Alfio Alessandro ChiarenzaDepartment of Earth Science and Engineering, Imperial College London, South Kensington Campus, London, SW7 2AZ, UK. a.chiarenza15@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5525-6730
Philip D MannionDepartment of Earth Science and Engineering, Imperial College London, South Kensington Campus, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9361-6941
Daniel J LuntSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Road, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3585-6928
Alex FarnsworthSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Road, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5585-5338
Lewis A JonesDepartment of Earth Science and Engineering, Imperial College London, South Kensington Campus, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3902-8986
Sarah-Jane KellandGetech, Elmete Hall, Elmete Lane, Leeds, LS8 2LJ, UK.
Peter A AllisonDepartment of Earth Science and Engineering, Imperial College London, South Kensington Campus, London, SW7 2AZ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4997-5314

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the lead-up to the Cretaceous/Paleogene mass extinction, dinosaur diversity is argued to have been either in long-term decline, or thriving until their sudden demise. The latest Cretaceous (Campanian-Maastrichtian [83-66 Ma]) of North America provides the best record to address this debate, but even here diversity reconstructions are biased by uneven sampling. Here we combine fossil occurrences with climatic and environmental modelling to quantify latest Cretaceous North American dinosaur habitat. Ecological niche modelling shows a Campanian-to-Maastrichtian habitability decrease in areas with present-day rock-outcrop. However, a continent-wide projection demonstrates habitat stability, or even a Campanian-to-Maastrichtian increase, that is not preserved. This reduction of the spatial sampling window resulted from formation of the proto-Rocky Mountains and sea-level regression. We suggest that Maastrichtian North American dinosaur diversity is therefore likely to be underestimated, with the apparent decline a product of sampling bias, and not due to a climatically-driven decrease in habitability as previously hypothesised.

Indexed as

BiodiversityClimate ChangeDinosaursExtinction, BiologicalModels, BiologicalAnimalsFossilsNorth AmericaSelection BiasSpatio-Temporal Analysis

Identifiers

PMID30842410
PMCPMC6403247

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.