ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2018
Transmission dynamics and control strategies assessment of avian influenza A (H5N6) in the Philippines.
Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A systematic review of mechanistic models used to study avian influenza virus transmission and control.Veterinary research · 2023Pooled it
- Modeling and control of highly pathogenic avian influenza in poultry using network disease dynamics.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- The Way of Water: Unravelling White Spot Syndrome Virus (WSSV) Transmission Dynamics inViruses · 2023Article
- Stationary distribution and density function analysis of SVIS epidemic model with saturated incidence and vaccination under stochastic environments.Theory in biosciences = Theorie in den Biowissenschaften · 2023Article
- Modelling epidemic growth models for lumpy skin disease cases in Thailand using nationwide outbreak data, 2021-2022.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Stationary distribution and probability density function of a stochastic SVIS epidemic model with standard incidence and vaccination strategies.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2021Article
- Identification of High-Risk Areas for the Spread of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in Central Luzon, Philippines.Veterinary sciences · 2020Article
- Quantitative assessment of biosecurity in broiler farms using Biocheck.UGent in Central Luzon, Philippines.Poultry science · 2020Article
- A brief history of bird flu.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019Review
- Surveillance for respiratory viruses in freshwater bodies visited by migratory birds, the Philippines.Western Pacific surveillance and response journal : WPSARArticle
- Detection and characterization of novel respiratory viruses among native ducks (Western Pacific surveillance and response journal : WPSARArticle
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2 authors.
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Abstract
Due to the outbreaks of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A (HPAI) H5N6 in the Philippines (particularly in Pampanga and Nueva Ecija) in August 2017, there has been an increase in the need to cull the domestic birds to control the spread of the infection. However, this control method poses a negative impact on the poultry industry. In addition, the pathogenicity and transmissibility of the H5N6 in both the birds and the humans remain largely unknown which call for the necessity to develop more strategic control methods for the virus. In this study, we constructed a mathematical model for the bilinear and half-saturated incidence to compare their corresponding effect on transmission dynamics of H5N6. The simulations of half-saturated incidence model were similar to what occurred during the H5N6 outbreak (2017) in the Philippines. Instead of culling the birds, we implemented other control strategies such as non-medicinal (personal protection and poultry isolation) and medicinal (poultry vaccination) ways to prevent, reduce, and control the rate of the H5N6 virus transmission. Among the proposed control strategies, we have shown that the poultry isolation strategy is still the most effective in reducing the infected birds.
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