ArticleScientific reports2019
Consequences of delays and imperfect implementation of isolation in epidemic control.
Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Lessons from past pandemics: a systematic review of evidence-based, cost-effective interventions to suppress COVID-19.Systematic reviews · 2022Pooled it
- Optimal algorithms for controlling infectious diseases in real time using noisy infection data.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Assessing the impact of isolation policies on epidemic dynamics through swarm entropy.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Assessing potential insights of an imperfect testing strategy: Parameter estimation and practical identifiability using early COVID-19 data in India.Communications in nonlinear science & numerical simulation · 2023Article
- An update on the development of antiviral against Mayaro virus: from molecules to potential viral targets.Archives of microbiology · 2023Review
- Parameter identification of a delayed infinite-dimensional heat-exchanger process based on relay feedback and root loci analysis.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Social stress drives the multi-wave dynamics of COVID-19 outbreaks.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Emergence of universality in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Data suggest COVID-19 affected numbers greatly exceeded detected numbers, in four European countries, as per a delayed SEIQR model.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Three pre-vaccine responses to Covid-like epidemics.PloS one · 2021Article
- An Epidemiological Model Considering Isolation to Predict COVID-19 Trends in Tokyo, Japan: Numerical Analysis.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2020Article
- New approximations, and policy implications, from a delayed dynamic model of a fast pandemic.Physica D. Nonlinear phenomena · 2020Article
- Examining the Associations between Psychological Flexibility, Mindfulness, Psychosomatic Functioning, and Anxiety during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Path Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Solvable delay model for epidemic spreading: the case of Covid-19 in Italy.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- The 2019 coronavirus: Learning curves, lessons, and the weakest link.International journal of clinical practice · 2020Article
- COVID-19: data-driven dynamics, statistical and distributed delay models, and observations.Nonlinear dynamics · 2020Article
- Complete dimensional collapse in the continuum limit of a delayed SEIQR network model with separable distributed infectivity.Nonlinear dynamics · 2020Article
- Quantifying the impact of time-delayed reporting and supportive care in measles outbreak: A simulation approach for Texas, USA.Science progressArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
For centuries isolation has been the main control strategy of unforeseen epidemic outbreaks. When implemented in full and without delay, isolation is very effective. However, flawless implementation is seldom feasible in practice. We present an epidemic model called SIQ with an isolation protocol, focusing on the consequences of delays and incomplete identification of infected hosts. The continuum limit of this model is a system of Delay Differential Equations, the analysis of which reveals clearly the dependence of epidemic evolution on model parameters including disease reproductive number, isolation probability, speed of identification of infected hosts and recovery rates. Our model offers estimates on minimum response capabilities needed to curb outbreaks, and predictions of endemic states when containment fails. Critical response capability is expressed explicitly in terms of parameters that are easy to obtain, to assist in the evaluation of funding priorities involving preparedness and epidemics management.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.