Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30837248›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Gonorrhoea and chlamydia diagnosis as an entry point for HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis: a modelling study.

Parastu Kasaie, Christina M Schumacher, Jacky M Jennings, Stephen A Berry, Susan A Tuddenham, Maunank S Shah, Eli S Rosenberg, Karen W Hoover, Thomas L Gift, Harrell Chesson and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Observational
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Parastu KasaieBloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3744-9501
Christina M SchumacherSchool of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Jacky M JenningsSchool of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Stephen A BerrySchool of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Susan A TuddenhamSchool of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Maunank S ShahSchool of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Eli S RosenbergRollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Karen W HooverDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Thomas L GiftDivision of STD Prevention, National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Harrell ChessonDivision of STD Prevention, National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Danielle GermanBloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
David W DowdyBloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Johns Hopkins University · USNational Center for HIV/AIDS Viral Hepatitis STD and TB Prevention · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USEmory University · US

Funding

Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Richard E. Chaisson · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
Dysbiosis, Recurrent Bacterial Vaginosis and the Vaginal MicrobiomeK23AI125715 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI TUDDENHAM, SUSAN ANNE · 2016 to 2020
$972k
Social networks, social resources, and HIV transmissionK01DA041259 · NIDA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GERMAN, DANIELLE · 2016 to 2020
$829k
Projecting the Epidemiologic and Economic Impact of HIV Prevention Efforts in the Context of Other Sexually Transmitted InfectionsK01AI138853 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI KASAIE, PARASTU · 2019 to 2023
$591k
NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI138853NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI125715NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA041259
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectives

designAn agent-based simulation model of NG/CT and HIV cocirculation among MSM calibrated against census data, disease surveillance reports and the US National HIV Behavioral Surveillance study.

settingBaltimore City, Maryland, USA.

interventionsPrEP implementation was modelled under three alternative scenarios: (1) PrEP delivery at NG/CT diagnosis (targeted delivery), (2) PrEP evaluation at NG/CT screening/testing and (3) PrEP evaluation in the general community (untargeted). MAIN OUTCOME: The projected incidence of HIV after 20 years of PrEP delivery under two alternatives: when equal numbers of MSM are (1) screened for PrEP or (2) receive PrEP in each year.

resultsAssuming 60% uptake and 60% adherence, targeting PrEP to MSM diagnosed with NG/CT could reduce HIV incidence among MSM in Baltimore City by 12.4% (95% uncertainty range (UR) 10.3% to 14.4%) in 20 years, relative to no PrEP. Expanding the coverage of NG/CT screening (such that individuals experience a 50% annual probability of NG/CT screening and evaluation for PrEP on NG/CT diagnosis) can further increase the impact of targeted PrEP to generate a 22.0% (95% UR 20.1% to 23.9%) reduction in HIV incidence within 20 years. When compared with alternative implementation scenarios, PrEP evaluation at NG/CT diagnosis increased impact of PrEP on HIV incidence by 1.5(95% UR 1.1 to 1.9) times relative to a scenario in which PrEP evaluation happened at the time of NG/CT screening/testing and by 1.6 (95% UR 1.2 to 2.2) times relative to evaluating random MSM from the community.

conclusionsTargeting MSM infected with NG/CT increases the efficiency and effectiveness of PrEP delivery. If high levels of sexually transmitted infection screening can be achieved at the community level, NG/CT diagnosis may be a highly effective entry point for PrEP initialisation.

Indexed as

Pre-Exposure ProphylaxisAdolescentAdultAgedChlamydia InfectionsGonorrheaHIV InfectionsHomosexuality, MaleHumansIncidenceMaleMarylandMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalSexual and Gender MinoritiesSexual Behaviorchlamydiacomputer simulationgonorrheaHiv Infectionhomosexualitypre-exposure prophylaxis

Identifiers

PMID30837248
PMCPMC6429744
OpenAlexW2920495163

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.