ArticleEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2019
Hands-on Tutorial on a Modeling Framework for Projections of Climate Change Impacts on Health.
Article in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 74 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
74 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Reduced mortality during the COVID-19 outbreak in Japan, 2020: a two-stage interrupted time-series design.International journal of epidemiology · 2022Pooled it
- [Weather and suicide : Association between meteorological variables and suicidal behavior-a systematic qualitative review article].Der Nervenarzt · 2020Pooled it
- Waterborne diseases and climate change.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026Review
- Article
- Projecting climate change impacts on health: A tutorial integrating the latest climate and demographic scenarios.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2026Article
- Projections of dengue epidemics attributable to climate change in Peru.BMJ global health · 2026Article
- Mapping heat-related morbidity burden attributable to human-induced climate change across 460 communities of Victoria, Australia.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2026Article
- Future temperature-related mortality in various climate change and adaptation scenarios in Finland.International journal of biometeorology · 2026Article
- Temperature-attributable mortality projections under scenarios of climate change for Oslo, Norway.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Vulnerability of older adults to heatwaves: the Barcelona case.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Impact of heat exposure on sleep health and its population vulnerability in the United States.Environment international · 2025Article
- Broad Applications of Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model in Public Health: A Comprehensive Review.GeoHealth · 2025Review
- Projection of temperature-related severe injuries under climate change: a nationwide study of South Korea.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Skillful heat-related mortality forecasting during recent deadly European summers.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Temperature and Emergency Department Visits: Present-Day Associations and Future Projections.Research square · 2025Article
- Temporal changes in the high-temperature-mortality association in the Netherlands and the potential impact of the implementation of the national heat plan.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2025Article
- The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: a transdisciplinary guidance document.Climatic change · 2025Article
- Future temperature-related mortality in Latin American cities under climate change and population scenarios.Environment international · 2025Article
- High temperature and cardiovascular disease in Australia under different climatic, demographic, and adaptive scenarios.European heart journal · 2025Article
- The differential effect of ambient temperature on age-specific and sex-specific mortality in the 300 largest cities of Russia, 2000-19: a first national time-series study.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2025Article
14 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Reliable estimates of future health impacts due to climate change are needed to inform and contribute to the design of efficient adaptation and mitigation strategies. However, projecting health burdens associated to specific environmental stressors is a challenging task because of the complex risk patterns and inherent uncertainty of future climate scenarios. These assessments involve multidisciplinary knowledge, requiring expertise in epidemiology, statistics, and climate science, among other subjects. Here, we present a methodologic framework to estimate future health impacts under climate change scenarios based on a defined set of assumptions and advanced statistical techniques developed in time-series analysis in environmental epidemiology. The proposed methodology is illustrated through a step-by-step hands-on tutorial structured in well-defined sections that cover the main methodological steps and essential elements. Each section provides a thorough description of each step, along with a discussion on available analytical options and the rationale on the choices made in the proposed framework. The illustration is complemented with a practical example of study using real-world data and a series of R scripts included as Supplementary Digital Content; http://links.lww.com/EDE/B504, which facilitates its replication and extension on other environmental stressors, outcomes, study settings, and projection scenarios. Users should critically assess the potential modeling alternatives and modify the framework and R code to adapt them to their research on health impact projections.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.