Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30815467›Full record

ArticleERJ open research2019

Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort.

Tom M A Wilkinson, Emmanuel Aris, Simon C Bourne, Stuart C Clarke, Mathieu Peeters, Thierry G Pascal, Laura Taddei, Andrew C Tuck, Viktoriya L Kim, Kristoffer K Ostridge and 5 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ERJ open research, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT01360398 (Contribution of Infectious Pathogens to Acute Respiratory Illness in Adults and Elderly), which is not on this map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01360398 nacompletednot on this map

Contribution of Infectious Pathogens to Acute Respiratory Illness in Adults and Elderly

TypeinterventionalSponsorGlaxoSmithKlineRan2011 to 2014Enrolled127ConditionsRespiratory DisordersArmsBlood sample, Sputum sample, Nasopharyngeal swab, Urine sample, End tidal breath sample
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Bronchial and Systemic Relationships ofInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Serum Immunoglobulin G Levels Are Associated with Risk for Exacerbations: An Analysis of SPIROMICS.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Observational
  16. Article
  17. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Tom M A WilkinsonClinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.
Emmanuel ArisGSK, Wavre, Belgium.
Simon C BourneClinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.
Stuart C ClarkeClinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.
Mathieu PeetersGSK, Wavre, Belgium.
Thierry G PascalGSK, Wavre, Belgium.
Laura TaddeiGSK, Sienna, Italy.
Andrew C TuckFaculty of Medicine and Institute for Life Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Viktoriya L KimClinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.
Kristoffer K OstridgeClinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8910-3900
Karl J StaplesClinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3844-6457
Nicholas P WilliamsClinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.
Anthony P WilliamsWessex Investigational Sciences Hub, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK.
Stephen A WoottonSouthampton NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK.
Jeanne-Marie DevasterGSK, Wavre, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5334-5457

Funding

Cancer Research UK 16997Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The association between exacerbation aetiology and exacerbation frequency is poorly understood. We analysed 2-year follow-up data from a prospective observational study of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (www.clinicaltrials.gov identifier number NCT01360398) to evaluate year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency and related aetiology. A total of 127 patients underwent blood and sputum sampling monthly and at exacerbation to detect respiratory infections and eosinophilic inflammation; 103 continued into year 2 and 88 completed both years. The most common bacterial species at stable state and exacerbation was

Identifiers

PMID30815467
PMCPMC6387989

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.