Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30808962›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2019

New risk prediction model of coronary heart disease in participants with and without diabetes: Assessments of the Framingham risk and Suita scores in 3-year longitudinal database in a Japanese population.

Hiroyuki Hirai, Koichi Asahi, Satoshi Yamaguchi, Hirotaka Mori, Hiroaki Satoh, Kunitoshi Iseki, Toshiki Moriyama, Kunihiro Yamagata, Kazuhiko Tsuruya, Shouichi Fujimoto and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Cardiac Risk in Prediction Models.Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Hiroyuki HiraiDepartment of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism of Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, 960-1295, Fukushima City, Fukushima, Japan.
Koichi AsahiSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Satoshi YamaguchiDepartment of Cardiology, Nakagami Hospital, 610 Noborikawa, 904-2142, Okinawa, Japan.
Hirotaka MoriDepartment of Internal Medicine, Shirakawa Kosei General Hospital, Shirakawa City, 961-0005, Fukushima, Japan.
Hiroaki SatohDepartment of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism of Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, 960-1295, Fukushima City, Fukushima, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-0353-5807
Kunitoshi IsekiSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Toshiki MoriyamaSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Kunihiro YamagataSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7407-0410
Kazuhiko TsuruyaSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Shouichi FujimotoSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Ichiei NaritaSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Tsuneo KontaSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Masahide KondoSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Yugo ShibagakiSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Masato KasaharaSteering Committee of Research on Design of the Comprehensive Health Care System for Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Based on the Individual Risk Assessment by Specific Health Check, 960-1295, Fukushima, Japan.
Tsuyoshi WatanabeDepartment of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism of Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, 960-1295, Fukushima City, Fukushima, Japan.
Michio ShimabukuroDepartment of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism of Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, 960-1295, Fukushima City, Fukushima, Japan. mshimabukuro-ur@umin.ac.jp.ORCID 0000-0001-7835-7665
Fukushima Medical University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Framingham Risk Score (FRS) has been reported to predict coronary heart disease (CHD), but its assessment has been unsuccessful in Asian population. We aimed to assess FRS and Suita score (a Japanese CHD prediction model) in a Japanese nation-wide annual health check program, participants aged 40-79 years were followed up longitudinally from 2008 to 2011. Of 35,379 participants analyzed, 1,234 had new-onset CHD. New-onset CHD was observed in diabetic men [6.00%], non-diabetic men [3.96%], diabetic women [5.51%], and non-diabetic women [2.86%], respectively. Area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for CHD prediction were consistently low in Suita score (TC), FRS (TC) and NCEP-ATPIII FRS (TC), suggesting that these scores have only a limited power. ROC, net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA) and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test did not show clear differences between Suita score (TC) and FRS (TC). New models combining waist circumference ≥85 cm in men or proteinuria ≥1+ in women to Suita score (TC) was superior in diabetic men and women. New models could be useful to predict 3-year risk of CHD at least in Japanese population especially in diabetic population.

Indexed as

Models, CardiovascularAdultAgedAsian PeopleCohort StudiesCoronary DiseaseDiabetes ComplicationsFemaleHumansJapanMaleMiddle AgedProteinuriaRisk AssessmentROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID30808962
PMCPMC6391401
OpenAlexW2918064253

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.