Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30794569›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Methods for calculating credible intervals for ratios of beta distributions with application to relative risks of death during the second plague pandemic.

Maria Bekker-Nielsen Dunbar, Thomas J R Finnie, Barney Sloane, Ian M Hall

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Comparing the clinical performance and cost efficacy of [European journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Maria Bekker-Nielsen DunbarEmergency Response Department, Public Health England, Porton Down, Salisbury, Wiltshire, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7249-3524
Thomas J R FinnieEmergency Response Department, Public Health England, Porton Down, Salisbury, Wiltshire, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5962-4211
Barney SloaneHistoric England, Swindon, United Kingdom.
Ian M HallEmergency Response Department, Public Health England, Porton Down, Salisbury, Wiltshire, United Kingdom.

Funding

Department of Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Employing historical records we are able to estimate the risk of premature death during the second plague pandemic, and identify the Black Death and pestis secunda epidemics. We show a novel method of calculating Bayesian credible intervals for a ratio of beta distributed random variables and use this to quantify uncertainty of relative risk estimates for these two epidemics which we consider in a 2 × 2 contingency table framework.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremDNA, BacterialHumansMortality, PrematurePandemicsPhylogenyPlagueRiskYersinia pestisDNA, Bacterial

Identifiers

PMID30794569
PMCPMC6386284

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.