Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30792131›Full record

SynthesisThe Lancet. Infectious diseases2019

The global burden of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

GBD 2017 Typhoid and Paratyphoid Collaborators

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 446 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
446citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
81.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

446 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 825 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Risk Factors for Typhoid Fever: Systematic Review.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2025
    Pooled it
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  4. Typhoid conjugate vaccines for preventing typhoid fever (enteric fever).The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2025
    Pooled it
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  9. Trial
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  16. Article
  17. A case for eliminating Widal testing for enteric fever, India.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2026
    Article
  18. Azithromycin-resistantJAC-antimicrobial resistance · 2026
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

386 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

GBD 2017 Typhoid and Paratyphoid Collaborators
University of Washington · US

Funding

Investigating Febrile Deaths in Tanzania (INDITe)R01AI121378 · NIAID · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI RUBACH, MATTHEW P · 2016 to 2020
$2.7M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI121378
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEfforts to quantify the global burden of enteric fever are valuable for understanding the health lost and the large-scale spatial distribution of the disease. We present the estimates of typhoid and paratyphoid fever burden from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017, and the approach taken to produce them.

methodsFor this systematic analysis we broke down the relative contributions of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers by country, year, and age, and analysed trends in incidence and mortality. We modelled the combined incidence of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers and split these total cases proportionally between typhoid and paratyphoid fevers using aetiological proportion models. We estimated deaths using vital registration data for countries with sufficiently high data completeness and using a natural history approach for other locations. We also estimated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for typhoid and paratyphoid fevers.

findingsGlobally, 14·3 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 12·5-16·3) cases of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers occurred in 2017, a 44·6% (42·2-47·0) decline from 25·9 million (22·0-29·9) in 1990. Age-standardised incidence rates declined by 54·9% (53·4-56·5), from 439·2 (376·7-507·7) per 100 000 person-years in 1990, to 197·8 (172·0-226·2) per 100 000 person-years in 2017. In 2017, Salmonella enterica serotype Typhi caused 76·3% (71·8-80·5) of cases of enteric fever. We estimated a global case fatality of 0·95% (0·54-1·53) in 2017, with higher case fatality estimates among children and older adults, and among those living in lower-income countries. We therefore estimated 135·9 thousand (76·9-218·9) deaths from typhoid and paratyphoid fever globally in 2017, a 41·0% (33·6-48·3) decline from 230·5 thousand (131·2-372·6) in 1990. Overall, typhoid and paratyphoid fevers were responsible for 9·8 million (5·6-15·8) DALYs in 2017, down 43·0% (35·5-50·6) from 17·2 million (9·9-27·8) DALYs in 1990.

interpretationDespite notable progress, typhoid and paratyphoid fevers remain major causes of disability and death, with billions of people likely to be exposed to the pathogens. Although improvements in water and sanitation remain essential, increased vaccine use (including with typhoid conjugate vaccines that are effective in infants and young children and protective for longer periods) and improved data and surveillance to inform vaccine rollout are likely to drive the greatest improvements in the global burden of the disease.

fundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCause of DeathChildChild, PreschoolFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceInfantLife ExpectancyMaleMass VaccinationMiddle AgedTyphoid-Paratyphoid Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID30792131
PMCPMC6437314
OpenAlexW2917067204

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.