Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30789796›Full record

ArticlePsychological science2019

The Prevalence of Marginally Significant Results in Psychology Over Time.

Anton Olsson-Collentine, Marcel A L M van Assen, Chris H J Hartgerink

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Psychological science, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  19. Trend analysis and prediction of injury death in Xi'an city, China, 2005-2020.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Anton Olsson-Collentine1 Department of Methodology and Statistics, Tilburg University.ORCID 0000-0002-4948-0178
Marcel A L M van Assen1 Department of Methodology and Statistics, Tilburg University.
Chris H J Hartgerink1 Department of Methodology and Statistics, Tilburg University.ORCID 0000-0003-1050-6809

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We examined the percentage of p values (.05 < p ≤ .10) reported as marginally significant in 44,200 articles, across nine psychology disciplines, published in 70 journals belonging to the American Psychological Association between 1985 and 2016. Using regular expressions, we extracted 42,504 p values between .05 and .10. Almost 40% of p values in this range were reported as marginally significant, although there were considerable differences between disciplines. The practice is most common in organizational psychology (45.4%) and least common in clinical psychology (30.1%). Contrary to what was reported by previous researchers, our results showed no evidence of an increasing trend in any discipline; in all disciplines, the percentage of p values reported as marginally significant was decreasing or constant over time. We recommend against reporting these results as marginally significant because of the low evidential value of p values between .05 and .10.

Indexed as

PsychologyPsychology, ClinicalBiasHumansPrevalenceResearchSocieties, ScientificAPAmarginal significancenull-hypothesis significance testingopen dataopen materialsover timevalues

Identifiers

PMID30789796
PMCPMC6472145

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.