Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30787092›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Does neighborhood socioeconomic status predict the risk of preterm birth? A community-based Canadian cohort study.

Kamala Adhikari, Scott B Patten, Tyler Williamson, Alka B Patel, Shahirose Premji, Suzanne Tough, Nicole Letourneau, Gerald Giesbrecht, Amy Metcalfe

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. Unsupervised Learning Applied to the Stratification of Preterm Birth Risk in Brazil with Socioeconomic Data.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Kamala AdhikariDepartment of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-2872-9496
Scott B PattenDepartment of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.
Tyler WilliamsonDepartment of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.
Alka B PatelApplied Research and Evaluation- Primary Health Care, Alberta Health Services, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Shahirose PremjiSchool of Nursing, Faculty of Health, York University, York, Canada.
Suzanne ToughDepartment of Paediatrics and Department of Community Health Science, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.
Nicole LetourneauFaculty of Nursing, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.
Gerald GiesbrechtDepartment of Community Health Sciences, and Department of Pediatrics, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.
Amy MetcalfeDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology and Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
University of Calgary · CAAlberta Health Services · CAYork University · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study developed and internally validated a predictive model for preterm birth (PTB) to examine the ability of neighbourhood socioeconomic status (SES) to predict PTB.

designCohort study using individual-level data from two community-based prospective pregnancy cohort studies (All Our Families (AOF) and Alberta Pregnancy Outcomes and Nutrition (APrON)) and neighbourhood SES data from the 2011 Canadian census.

settingCalgary, Alberta, Canada.

participantsPregnant women who were <24 weeks of gestation and >15 years old were enrolled in the cohort studies between 2008 and 2012. Overall, 5297 women participated in at least one of these cohorts: 3341 women participated in the AOF study, 2187 women participated in the APrON study and 231 women participated in both studies. Women who participated in both studies were only counted once. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: PTB (delivery prior to 37 weeks of gestation).

resultsThe rates of PTB in the least and most deprived neighbourhoods were 7.54% and 10.64%, respectively. Neighbourhood variation in PTB was 0.20, with an intra-class correlation of 5.72%. Neighbourhood SES, combined with individual-level predictors, predicted PTB with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.75. The sensitivity was 91.80% at a low-risk threshold, with a high false-positive rate (71.50%), and the sensitivity was 5.70% at a highest risk threshold, with a low false-positive rate (0.90%). An agreement between the predicted and observed PTB demonstrated modest model calibration. Individual-level predictors alone predicted PTB with an AUC of 0.60.

conclusionAlthough neighbourhood SES combined with individual-level predictors improved the overall prediction of PTB compared with individual-level predictors alone, the detection rate was insufficient for application in clinical or public health practice. A prediction model with better predictive ability is required to effectively find women at high risk of preterm delivery.

Indexed as

Residence CharacteristicsSocial ClassAdultAlbertaFemaleGestational AgeHumansInfant, NewbornLogistic ModelsPregnancyPregnancy OutcomePremature BirthPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk FactorsROC Curveneighbourhood socioeconomic statuspredictionpreterm birth

Identifiers

PMID30787092
PMCPMC6398791
OpenAlexW2915450868

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.