Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30784633›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2019

Burden of enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli and shigella non-fatal diarrhoeal infections in 79 low-income and lower middle-income countries: a modelling analysis.

John D Anderson, Karoun H Bagamian, Farzana Muhib, Mirna P Amaya, Lindsey A Laytner, Thomas Wierzba, Richard Rheingans

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 107 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
107citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
10.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

107 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 166 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Consequences of Shigella infection in young children: a systematic review.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2023
    Pooled it
  4. Trial
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  6. Indole decreases the virulence of enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli.World journal of microbiology & biotechnology · 2026
    Article
  7. New microbes and new infections · 2026
    Review
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  18. Evaluation of the performance and feasibility of RLDT in detectingmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
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  20. Article

47 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

John D AndersonGoodnight Family Department of Sustainable Development, Appalachian State University, Boone, NC, USA; Emerging Pathogens Institute, Gainesville, FL, USA; Department of Environmental and Global Health, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA. Electronic address: jdandersoniv@gmail.com.
Karoun H BagamianDepartment of Environmental and Global Health, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA; Bagamian Scientific Consulting, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Farzana MuhibPATH, Washington, DC, USA.
Mirna P AmayaEmerging Pathogens Institute, Gainesville, FL, USA; Department of Environmental and Global Health, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Lindsey A LaytnerEmerging Pathogens Institute, Gainesville, FL, USA; Department of Environmental and Global Health, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Thomas WierzbaPATH, Washington, DC, USA.
Richard RheingansGoodnight Family Department of Sustainable Development, Appalachian State University, Boone, NC, USA; Emerging Pathogens Institute, Gainesville, FL, USA.
University of Florida Health · USAppalachian State University · USProgram for Appropriate Technology in Health · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEnterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) and shigella are two major pathogens that cause moderate-to-severe diarrhoea in children younger than 5 years. Diarrhoea is associated with an increased risk of stunting, which puts children at risk of death due to other infectious diseases.

methodsWe modelled ETEC-related and shigella-related mortality and the effect of moderate-to-severe diarrhoea episodes to determine the number of children with stunting due to these infections in 79 low-income and lower middle-income countries. We applied population attributable risk for increased number of deaths due to other infectious diseases in children who are stunted. We calculated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for the point estimates.

findingsIn children younger than 5 years, we estimate 196 million (95% UI 135-269) episodes of ETEC and shigella diarrhoea occur annually, resulting in 3·5 million (0·8-5·4) cases of moderate-to-severe stunting and 44 400 (29 400-59 800) total ETEC deaths and 63 100 (44 000-81 900) total shigella deaths in 2015. Additional infectious disease mortality due to stunting resulted in increases of 24% (8-34; for ETEC) and 28% (10-39; for shigella) over direct deaths due to diarrhoeal episodes. The distribution of mortality and morbidity varied geographically, with African Region and Eastern Mediterranean Region countries bearing the greatest burden.

interpretationThe expanded effects of non-fatal ETEC and shigella-related diarrhoeal episodes can have lasting consequences. Prevention of these infections could reduce the risk of direct death and stunting and deaths due to other infectious diseases. Understanding the countries and populations with the highest disease risk helps to target interventions for the most vulnerable populations.

fundingThe Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Indexed as

Developing CountriesGlobal Burden of DiseaseMortalityChild, PreschoolDiarrheaDysentery, BacillaryEnteritisEnterotoxigenic Escherichia coliEscherichia coli InfectionsFemaleGrowth DisordersHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleQuality-Adjusted Life Years

Identifiers

PMID30784633
PMCPMC6379821
OpenAlexW2911980488

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.