Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30775536›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis and sarcopenia2018

An updated hip fracture projection in Asia: The Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies study.

Ching-Lung Cheung, Seng Bin Ang, Manoj Chadha, Eddie Siu-Lun Chow, Yoon-Sok Chung, Fen Lee Hew, Unnop Jaisamrarn, Hou Ng, Yasuhiro Takeuchi, Chih-Hsing Wu and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis and sarcopenia, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 201 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
201citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

201 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Effectiveness of fracture liaison service in reducing the risk of secondary fragility fractures in adults aged 50 and older: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
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  3. The Effects ofNutrients · 2023
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  4. Prevalence of osteoporosis and incidence of related fractures in developed economies in the Asia Pacific region: a systematic review.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2023
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  9. Effect of coordinator-based osteoporosis intervention on quality of life in patients with fragility fractures: a prospective randomized trial.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2022
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  12. Romosozumab or alendronate for fracture prevention in East Asian patients: a subanalysis of the phase III, randomized ARCH study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
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141 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Ching-Lung CheungDepartment of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, Centre for Genomic Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.
Seng Bin AngFamily Medicine Service and Menopause Unit, KK Women's and Children's Hospital, Singapore.
Manoj ChadhaP. D. Hinduja Hospital, Mumbai, India.
Eddie Siu-Lun ChowThe Osteoporosis Society of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Yoon-Sok ChungDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, South Korea.
Fen Lee HewDepartment of Medicine, Subang Jaya Medical Centre, Selangor, Malaysia.
Unnop JaisamrarnDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Hou NgDepartment of Internal Medicine, Centro Hospitalar Conde S. Januário, Macau, China.
Yasuhiro TakeuchiToranomon Hospital Endocrine Center, Tokyo, Japan.
Chih-Hsing WuDepartment of Family Medicine, Institute of Gerontology, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan.
Weibo XiaDepartment of Endocrinology, Key Laboratory of Endocrinology of Minister of Health, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Julie YuSection of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, University of Santo Tomas Faculty of Medicine and Surgery, Espana, Manila, Philippines.
Saeko FujiwaraJapan Osteoporosis Society, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesHip fracture is a major public health problem. Earlier studies projected that the total number of hip fracture will increase dramatically by 2050, and most of the hip fracture will occur in Asia. To date, only a few studies provided the updated projection, and none of them focused on the hip fracture projection in Asia. Thus, it is essential to provide the most up to date prediction of hip fracture in Asia, and to evaluate the total direct medical cost of hip fracture in Asia.

methodsWe provide the updated projection of hip fracture in 9 Asian Federation of Osteoporosis Societies members using the most updated incidence rate and projected population size.

resultsWe show that the number of hip fracture will increase from 1,124,060 in 2018 to 2,563,488 in 2050, a 2.28-fold increase. This increase is mainly due to the changes on the population demographics, especially in China and India, which have the largest population size. The direct cost of hip fracture will increase from 9.5 billion United State dollar (USD) in 2018 to 15 billion USD in 2050, resulting a 1.59-fold increase. A 2%-3% decrease in incidence rate of hip fracture annually is required to keep the total number of hip fracture constant over time.

conclusionsThe results show that hip fracture remains a key public health issue in Asia, despite the available of better diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of fracture over the recent years. Healthcare policy in Asia should be aimed to reduce the burden of hip fracture.

Indexed as

AsiaHip fractureIncidenceOsteoporosis

Identifiers

PMID30775536
PMCPMC6362950

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.