Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30774704›Full record

ArticlePlant methods2019

Bayesian analysis and prediction of hybrid performance.

Filipe Couto Alves, Ítalo Stefanine Correa Granato, Giovanni Galli, Danilo Hottis Lyra, Roberto Fritsche-Neto, Gustavo de Los Campos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Plant methods, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Portability of genomic predictions trained on sparse factorial designs across two maize silage breeding cycles.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Filipe Couto Alves2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University, 775 Woodlot Dr. Office 1315, East Lansing, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2127-4276
Ítalo Stefanine Correa Granato3Department of Genetics, "Luiz de Queiroz" College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Avenida Pádua Dias, No 11, Piracicaba, São Paulo Brazil.
Giovanni Galli3Department of Genetics, "Luiz de Queiroz" College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Avenida Pádua Dias, No 11, Piracicaba, São Paulo Brazil.
Danilo Hottis Lyra4Department of Computational and Analytical Sciences, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UK.
Roberto Fritsche-Neto3Department of Genetics, "Luiz de Queiroz" College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Avenida Pádua Dias, No 11, Piracicaba, São Paulo Brazil.
Gustavo de Los Campos1Departments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Statistics and Probability and Institute of Quantitative Health Science and Engineering, Michigan State University, 775 Woodlot Dr. Office 1311, East Lansing, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe selection of hybrids is an essential step in maize breeding. However, evaluating a large number of hybrids in field trials can be extremely costly. However, genomic models can be used to predict the expected performance of un-tested genotypes. Bayesian models offer a very flexible framework for hybrid prediction. The Bayesian methodology can be used with parametric and semi-parametric assumptions for additive and non-additive effects. Furthermore, samples from the posterior distribution of Bayesian models can be used to estimate the variance due to general and specific combining abilities even in cases where additive and non-additive effects are not mutually orthogonal. Also, the use of Bayesian models for analysis and prediction of hybrid performance has remained fairly limited.

resultsWe provided an overview of Bayesian parametric and semi-parametric genomic models for prediction of agronomic traits in maize hybrids and discussed how these models can be used to decompose the genotypic variance into components due to general and specific combining ability. We applied the methodology to data from 906 single cross tropical maize hybrids derived from a convergent population. Our results show that: (1) non-additive effects make a sizable contribution to the genetic variance of grain yield; however, the relative importance of non-additive effects was much smaller for ear and plant height; (2) genomic prediction can achieve relatively high accuracy in predicting phenotypes of un-tested hybrids and in pre-screening.

conclusionsGenomic prediction can be a useful tool in pre-screening of hybrids and could contribute to the improvement of the efficiency and efficacy of maize hybrids breeding programs. The Bayesian framework offers a great deal of flexibility in modeling hybrid performance. The methodology can be used to estimate important genetic parameters and render predictions of the expected hybrid performance as well measures of uncertainty about such predictions.

Indexed as

Bayesian modelsBGLRConvergent populationsDominanceEpistasisGenomic predictionHybrid predictionNitrogenNon-additive effectsRKHSSemi-parametric modelsSpecific combining abilityStressTropical maize

Identifiers

PMID30774704
PMCPMC6366084

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.