Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30773532›Full record

ArticleGenetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics2019

Population genomic screening of all young adults in a health-care system: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Lei Zhang, Yining Bao, Moeen Riaz, Jane Tiller, Danny Liew, Xun Zhuang, David J Amor, Aamira Huq, Lara Petelin, Mark Nelson and 4 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 54 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
24.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 101 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. A systematic review of the methodological quality of economic evaluations in genetic screening and testing for monogenic disorders.Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics · 2022
    Pooled it
  4. The clinical utility of carrier screening.NPJ genomic medicine · 2026
    Article
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  15. Screening and prevention of ovarian cancer.The Medical journal of Australia · 2024
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Lei ZhangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, PR China.
Yining BaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Moeen RiazDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Jane TillerDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Danny LiewDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Xun ZhuangSchool of Public Health, Nantong University, Nantong, Jiangsu, China.
David J AmorVictorian Clinical Genetics Services; Murdoch Children's Research Institute; Department of Paediatrics, University of Melbourne, Royal Children's Hospital, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
Aamira HuqDepartment of Genomic Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital; Department of Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Lara PetelinFamilial Cancer Centre, Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Mark NelsonDiscipline of General Practice, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.
Paul A JamesDepartment of Genomic Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital; Department of Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Ingrid WinshipDepartment of Genomic Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital; Department of Medicine, Royal Melbourne Hospital, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
John J McNeilDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Paul LacazeDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. paul.lacaze@monash.edu.
Monash University · AUNantong University · CNThe Royal Melbourne Hospital · AUPeter MacCallum Cancer Centre · AURoyal Children's Hospital · AUUniversity of Melbourne · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo consider the impact and cost-effectiveness of offering preventive population genomic screening to all young adults in a single-payer health-care system.

methodsWe modeled screening of 2,688,192 individuals, all adults aged 18-25 years in Australia, for pathogenic variants in BRCA1/BRCA2/MLH1/MSH2 genes, and carrier screening for cystic fibrosis (CF), spinal muscular atrophy (SMA), and fragile X syndrome (FXS), at 71% testing uptake using per-test costs ranging from AUD$200 to $1200 (~USD$140 to $850). Investment costs included genetic counseling, surveillance, and interventions (reimbursed only) for at-risk individuals/couples. Cost-effectiveness was defined below AUD$50,000/DALY (disability-adjusted life year) prevented, using an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), compared with current targeted testing. Outcomes were cancer incidence/mortality, disease cases, and treatment costs reduced.

resultsPopulation screening would reduce variant-attributable cancers by 28.8%, cancer deaths by 31.2%, and CF/SMA/FXS cases by 24.8%, compared with targeted testing. Assuming AUD$400 per test, investment required would be between 4 and 5 times higher than current expenditure. However, screening would lead to substantial savings in medical costs and DALYs prevented, at a highly cost-effective ICER of AUD$4038/DALY. At AUD$200 per test, screening would approach cost-saving for the health system (ICER = AUD$22/DALY).

conclusionPreventive genomic screening in early adulthood would be highly cost-effective in a single-payer health-care system, but ethical issues must be considered.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAustraliaBRCA1 ProteinBRCA2 ProteinCost-Benefit AnalysisCystic FibrosisDelivery of Health CareFemaleFragile X SyndromeHumansMaleMetagenomicsMuscular Atrophy, SpinalMutL Protein Homolog 1MutS Homolog 2 ProteinBRCA1 ProteinBRCA1 protein, humanBRCA2 ProteinMLH1 protein, humanMSH2 protein, humanMutL Protein Homolog 1MutS Homolog 2 Proteincancercost-effectiveness analysispopulation genomic screeningpreconception carrier screeningprevention

Identifiers

PMID30773532
PMCPMC6752319
OpenAlexW2912421634

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.