Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30764837›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health : a global access science source2019

Measurement error in a multi-level analysis of air pollution and health: a simulation study.

Barbara K Butland, Evangelia Samoli, Richard W Atkinson, Benjamin Barratt, Klea Katsouyanni

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health : a global access science source, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Mortality and Morbidity Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Low-Level PMResearch report (Health Effects Institute) · 2021
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Measurement error correction for ambient PMEnvironmental research · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Assessing the health estimation capacity of air pollution exposure prediction models.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Assessing additive effects of air pollutants on mortality rate in Massachusetts.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Barbara K ButlandPopulation Health Research Institute and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, St George's, University of London, Cranmer Terrace, Tooting, London, SW17 0RE, UK. b.butland@sgul.ac.uk.
Evangelia SamoliDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Richard W AtkinsonPopulation Health Research Institute and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, St George's, University of London, Cranmer Terrace, Tooting, London, SW17 0RE, UK.
Benjamin BarrattDepartment of Analytical and Environmental Sciences and MRC-PHE Centre for Environment and Health, King's College London, London, UK.
Klea KatsouyanniDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/N014464/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSpatio-temporal models are increasingly being used to predict exposure to ambient outdoor air pollution at high spatial resolution for inclusion in epidemiological analyses of air pollution and health. Measurement error in these predictions can nevertheless have impacts on health effect estimation. Using statistical simulation we aim to investigate the effects of such error within a multi-level model analysis of long and short-term pollutant exposure and health.

methodsOur study was based on a theoretical sample of 1000 geographical sites within Greater London. Simulations of "true" site-specific daily mean and 5-year mean NO

resultsIn general, health effect estimates associated with both long and short-term exposure were biased towards the null with the level of bias increasing to over 60% as the correlation coefficient decreased from 0.9 to 0.5 and the variance ratio increased from 0.5 to 2. However, for a combination of high correlation (0.9) and small variance ratio (0.5) non-trivial bias (> 25%) away from the null was observed. Standard errors of health effect estimates, though unaffected by changes in the correlation coefficient, appeared to be attenuated for variance ratios > 1 but inflated for variance ratios < 1.

conclusionWhile our findings suggest that in most cases modelling errors result in attenuation of the effect estimate towards the null, in some situations a non-trivial bias away from the null may occur. The magnitude and direction of bias appears to depend on the relationship between modelled and "true" data in terms of their correlation and the ratio of their variances. These factors should be taken into account when assessing the validity of modelled air pollution predictions for use in complex epidemiological models.

Indexed as

Air PollutantsAir PollutionComputer SimulationEnvironmental MonitoringHumansLondonMortalityNitrogen DioxideParticulate MatterRegression AnalysisResearch DesignAir PollutantsNitrogen DioxideParticulate MatterAir pollutionLong-termMeasurement errorMulti-level modelsShort-termSimulations

Identifiers

PMID30764837
PMCPMC6376751

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.