ArticleScientific reports2019
Global Disease Outbreaks Associated with the 2015-2016 El Niño Event.
Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 71 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
71 citing papers in PubMed.
- Associations between El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and tuberculosis incidence in China: a nationwide study.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- Revisiting Animal Reservoirs of Hantavirus and Other Zoonotic Viruses Associated with Cruise Travel: Impact and Prevention.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2026Review
- Marine ecosystems in peril: Time to prepare for super El Niño.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- ENSO Impact on Global Chikungunya Virus Transmission, 2008-2024: A Multi-Country Distributed-Lag Time-Series Analysis.Viruses · 2026Article
- Analysis of Spatiotemporal Risks of Environmental Driving Factors of Respiratory Diseases.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Opportunities and challenges for countermeasures against Rift Valley fever virus: A quintessential One Health pathogen.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Review
- Article
- Present and Future of Mosquito-Borne Disease Control in Europe with a Specific Focus on the Mediterranean.Insects · 2026Review
- Cholera in Kenya: A scoping review of current research, evidence gaps and future directions.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Article
- Impact of El Nino Southern Oscillation and Climate Change on Infectious Diseases with Ophthalmic Manifestations.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Review
- The Correlation Between Three Teleconnections and Dengue Incidence in the Western Province of Sri Lanka, 2005-2019.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Integrating anticipatory action in disease outbreak preparedness and response in the humanitarian sector.BMJ global health · 2025Review
- Prevalence and trends of coexisting forms of malnutrition and its associated factors among children aged 6-59 months in South and Southeast Asia, 1996-2022: a cross-sectional time series study.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Climate Change and Zoonotic Disease Outbreaks: Emerging Evidence from Epidemiology and Toxicology.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Review
- Chikungunya and Dengue Encephalitis: A Critical Narrative Review.Annals of Indian Academy of Neurology · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal variation of under-5 children diarrhea incidence and associated meteorological factors in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A retrospective time series study.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Intersecting Memories of Immunity and Climate: Potential Multiyear Impacts of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Infectious Disease Spread.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Anopheles gambiae Re-Emergence and Resurgent Malaria Transmission in Eastern Rwanda, 2010-2020.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2025Article
- Editorial: One Health approaches and modeling in parasitology in the climate change framework and possible supporting tools adopting GIS and remote sensing.Frontiers in parasitology · 2025Article
11 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Interannual climate variability patterns associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation phenomenon result in climate and environmental anomaly conditions in specific regions worldwide that directly favor outbreaks and/or amplification of variety of diseases of public health concern including chikungunya, hantavirus, Rift Valley fever, cholera, plague, and Zika. We analyzed patterns of some disease outbreaks during the strong 2015-2016 El Niño event in relation to climate anomalies derived from satellite measurements. Disease outbreaks in multiple El Niño-connected regions worldwide (including Southeast Asia, Tanzania, western US, and Brazil) followed shifts in rainfall, temperature, and vegetation in which both drought and flooding occurred in excess (14-81% precipitation departures from normal). These shifts favored ecological conditions appropriate for pathogens and their vectors to emerge and propagate clusters of diseases activity in these regions. Our analysis indicates that intensity of disease activity in some ENSO-teleconnected regions were approximately 2.5-28% higher during years with El Niño events than those without. Plague in Colorado and New Mexico as well as cholera in Tanzania were significantly associated with above normal rainfall (p < 0.05); while dengue in Brazil and southeast Asia were significantly associated with above normal land surface temperature (p < 0.05). Routine and ongoing global satellite monitoring of key climate variable anomalies calibrated to specific regions could identify regions at risk for emergence and propagation of disease vectors. Such information can provide sufficient lead-time for outbreak prevention and potentially reduce the burden and spread of ecologically coupled diseases.
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