ArticlePreventive medicine2019
Physical activity trajectories and subsequent fall risk: ARIC Study.
Article in Preventive medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.
- Daily steps and all-cause mortality: a meta-analysis of 15 international cohorts.The Lancet. Public health · 2022Pooled it
- Timing of Orthostatic Blood Pressure Changes and Its Association With Orthostatic Symptoms and Falls at Very Old Ages: Findings From the ARIC Study.Hypertension (Dallas, Tex. : 1979) · 2026Article
- Novel sleep metrics derived from chest-worn accelerometers are associated with dementia risk: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities neurocognitive study.Sleep advances : a journal of the Sleep Research Society · 2026Article
- A machine learning-based fall-risk score for severity of fall-related adverse outcomes in community older adults.BMC geriatrics · 2025Article
- Reimagining falls prevention with insights from systems mapping on the use of millimetre-wave radar for remote health monitoring.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Falls and patterns of physical activity participation over 18 years in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health.British journal of sports medicine · 2024Article
- U-shaped association between the triglyceride-glucose index and atrial fibrillation incidence in a general population without known cardiovascular disease.Cardiovascular diabetology · 2023Article
- Trajectory of physical activity frequency and cancer risk: Findings from a population-based cohort study.European review of aging and physical activity : official journal of the European Group for Research into Elderly and Physical Activity · 2023Article
- Daily and hourly patterns of physical activity and sedentary behavior of older adults: Atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) study.Preventive medicine reports · 2022Article
- Distinct physical activity and sedentary behavior trajectories in older adults during participation in a physical activity intervention: a latent class growth analysis.European review of aging and physical activity : official journal of the European Group for Research into Elderly and Physical Activity · 2022Article
- Life-Course Trajectories of Physical Activity and Melanoma Risk in a Large Cohort of Norwegian Women.Clinical epidemiology · 2022Article
- Association of Hypertension According to New American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Blood Pressure Guidelines With Incident Dementia in the ARIC Study Cohort.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
To examine the impact of moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) trajectories during midlife and older adulthood with subsequent fall risk in later life. Cross-temporal analyses were conducted in 15,792 participants (27% black, 55% women) aged 45 to 64 years enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. MVPA was collected at Exams 1 (1987-89), 3 (1993-95) and 5 (2011-13) using the ARIC/Baecke questionnaire. Latent class growth analysis was used to identify the MVPA trajectory groups. Reported falls outcomes were collected in 2013-14, 2015-16, and 2016-17. Generalized Linear Models were used to estimate associations of baseline predictors with trajectory class membership, as well as associations of trajectory classes with any falling (adjusted incident relative risks, aIRR) and with number of falls (adjusted relative rates, aRR). Four primary trajectory classes emerged, reflecting longitudinal patterns of maintained high (48%), maintained low (22%), increasing (14%) and decreasing (15%) MVPA. After adjustment for covariates, the decreasing MVPA trajectory group had a 14% higher risk of reporting any falling compared to the maintained high MVPA group [aIRR = 1.14 (1.01, 1.28)]. When compared to the maintained high MVPA group, the maintained low and decreasing group had a 28% [aRR = 1.28 (1.14, 1.44)] and 27% [aRR = 1.27 (1.17, 1.38)] higher rate in the reported number of falls, respectively. Findings support public health campaigns targeting habitual MVPA or exercise for fall prevention and suggest that interventions should be initiated in midlife; a time when individuals may be more able and willing to change behavior.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.