Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30733561›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2019

Effect of sexual transmission on the West Africa Ebola outbreak in 2014: a mathematical modelling study.

Dongmei Luo, Rongjiong Zheng, Duolao Wang, Xueliang Zhang, Yi Yin, Kai Wang, Weiming Wang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. PREVAIL IV: A Randomized, Double-Blind, 2-Phase, Phase 2 Trial of Remdesivir vs Placebo for Reduction of Ebola Virus RNA in the Semen of Male Survivors.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
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  14. Ebola virus: A global public health menace: A narrative review.Journal of family medicine and primary care · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Dongmei LuoDepartment of Student Affairs, The 3rd Affiliated Teaching Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University (Affiliated Cancer Hospital), Urumqi, 830011, P. R. China.
Rongjiong ZhengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The first Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830054, P. R. China.
Duolao WangBiostatistics Unit, Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L3 5QA, UK.
Xueliang ZhangCollege of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830011, P. R. China.
Yi YinCollege of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830011, P. R. China.
Kai WangCollege of Medical Engineering and Technology, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830011, P. R. China. wangkaimath@sina.com.
Weiming WangSchool of Mathematics Science, Huaiyin Normal University, Huaiyin, 223300, P. R. China.
Xinjiang Medical University · CNHuaiyin Normal University · CNLiverpool School of Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The outbreak of the Ebola virus has resulted in significant morbidity and mortality in the affected areas, and Ebola virus RNA has been found in the semen of the survivors after 9 months of symptom onset. However, the role that sexual transmission played in the transmission is not very clear. In this paper, we developed a compartmental model for Ebola virus disease (EVD) dynamics, which includes three different infectious routes: contact with the infectious, contact with dead bodies, and transmission by sexual behaviour with convalescent survivors. We fitted the model to daily cumulative cases from the first reported infected case to October 25, 2014 for the epidemic in Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea. The basic reproduction numbers in these countries were estimated as 1.6726 (95%CI:1.5922-1.7573), 1.8162 (95%CI:1.7660-1.8329) and 1.4873 (95%CI:1.4770-1.4990), respectively. We calculated the contribution of sexual transmission to the basic reproduction number R

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalAfrica, WesternDisease OutbreaksEbolavirusHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansIncidenceSexually Transmitted Diseases, Viral

Identifiers

PMID30733561
PMCPMC6367483
OpenAlexW2915377836

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.