Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30731004›Full record

ArticlePLoS pathogens2019

Absence of adaptive evolution is the main barrier against influenza emergence in horses in Asia despite frequent virus interspecies transmission from wild birds.

Henan Zhu, Batchuluun Damdinjav, Gaelle Gonzalez, Livia Victoria Patrono, Humberto Ramirez-Mendoza, Julien A R Amat, Joanna Crispell, Yasmin Amy Parr, Toni-Ann Hammond, Enkhtuvshin Shiilegdamba and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS pathogens, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Equine Influenza.Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine · 2022
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 9 institutions in 6 countries.

Henan ZhuMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Batchuluun DamdinjavState Central Veterinary Laboratory, Transboundary Animal Disease Laboratory, Avian Influenza Section, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.
Gaelle GonzalezMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5607-2834
Livia Victoria PatronoMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3978-3607
Humberto Ramirez-MendozaDepartamento de Microbiología e Inmunología, Facultad de Medicina Veterinaria y Zootecnia, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de Mexico, México.ORCID 0000-0002-5739-4077
Julien A R AmatMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3154-0803
Joanna CrispellMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Yasmin Amy ParrMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4658-6698
Toni-Ann HammondAnimal Health Trust, Lanwades Park, Kentford, Newmarket, Suffolk, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8537-2804
Enkhtuvshin ShiilegdambaWildlife Conservation Society, Bronx, NY, United States of America.
Y H Connie LeungSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1102-4684
Malik PeirisSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
John F MarshallWeipers Centre Equine Hospital, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Joseph HughesMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2556-2563
Martin GilbertWildlife Conservation Society, Bronx, NY, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-9930-4383
Pablo R MurciaMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4352-394X
MRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBWildlife Conservation Society · USAnimal Health Trust · GBChinese University of Hong Kong · HKMongolian University of Life Sciences · MNRobert Koch Institute · DEUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de México · MXUniversity of Glasgow · GBUniversity of Hong Kong · HK

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/12Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/9NIAID NIH HHS HHSN266200700007C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Virus ecology and evolution play a central role in disease emergence. However, their relative roles will vary depending on the viruses and ecosystems involved. We combined field studies, phylogenetics and experimental infections to document with unprecedented detail the stages that precede initial outbreaks during viral emergence in nature. Using serological surveys we showed that in the absence of large-scale outbreaks, horses in Mongolia are routinely exposed to and infected by avian influenza viruses (AIVs) circulating among wild birds. Some of those AIVs are genetically related to an avian-origin virus that caused an epizootic in horses in 1989. Experimental infections showed that most AIVs replicate in the equine respiratory tract without causing lesions, explaining the absence of outbreaks of disease. Our results show that AIVs infect horses but do not spread, or they infect and spread but do not cause disease. Thus, the failure of AIVs to evolve greater transmissibility and to cause disease in horses is in this case the main barrier preventing disease emergence.

Indexed as

AnimalsAnimals, WildAsiaBiological EvolutionBirdsDisease OutbreaksDisease Transmission, InfectiousEvolution, MolecularHorsesHumansInfluenza, HumanInfluenza in BirdsOrthomyxoviridae InfectionsPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID30731004
PMCPMC6366691
OpenAlexW2912190666

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.