Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30716139›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Incorporating media data into a model of infectious disease transmission.

Louis Kim, Shannon M Fast, Natasha Markuzon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. National or local infodemic? The demand for news in Italy during COVID-19.International journal of health economics and management · 2023
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Research on the Influence of Information Diffusion on the Transmission of the Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19).International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Dynamical SEIR Model With Information Entropy Using COVID-19 as a Case Study.IEEE transactions on computational social systems · 2021
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. The COVID-19 social media infodemic.Scientific reports · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Louis KimInformation and Cognition Division, The Charles Stark Draper Laboratory, Cambridge, MA, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-4021-9408
Shannon M FastInformation and Cognition Division, The Charles Stark Draper Laboratory, Cambridge, MA, United States of America.
Natasha MarkuzonInformation and Cognition Division, The Charles Stark Draper Laboratory, Cambridge, MA, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding the effect of media on disease spread can help improve epidemic forecasting and uncover preventive measures to slow the spread of disease. Most previously introduced models have approximated media effect through disease incidence, making media influence dependent on the size of epidemic. We propose an alternative approach, which relies on real data about disease coverage in the news, allowing us to model low incidence/high interest diseases, such as SARS, Ebola or H1N1. We introduce a network-based model, in which disease is transmitted through local interactions between individuals and the probability of transmission is affected by media coverage. We assume that media attention increases self-protection (e.g. hand washing and compliance with social distancing), which, in turn, decreases disease model. We apply the model to the case of H1N1 transmission in Mexico City in 2009 and show how media influence-measured by the time series of the weekly count of news articles published on the outbreak-helps to explain the observed transmission dynamics. We show that incorporating the media attention based on the observed media coverage of the outbreak better estimates the disease dynamics from what would be predicted by using media function that approximate the media impact using the number of cases and rate of spread. Finally, we apply the model to a typical influenza season in Washington, DC and estimate how the transmission pattern would have changed given different levels of media coverage.

Indexed as

Communicable Disease ControlCommunicable DiseasesCommunications MediaDisease OutbreaksEpidemicsForecastingHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansIncidenceInfluenza, HumanMass MediaMexicoProbability

Identifiers

PMID30716139
PMCPMC6361417

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.