Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30715965›Full record

ArticleHealth affairs (Project Hope)2019

Explaining The Slowdown In Medical Spending Growth Among The Elderly, 1999-2012.

David M Cutler, Kaushik Ghosh, Kassandra L Messer, Trivellore E Raghunathan, Susan T Stewart, Allison B Rosen

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health affairs (Project Hope), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. The impact of health literacy on healthcare spending: theory and evidence from China.International journal of health economics and management · 2026
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  9. A Satellite Account for Health in the United States.The American economic review · 2022
    Article
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  13. Factors related to the change in Swiss inpatient costs by disease: a 6-factor decomposition.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. COMBINING INFORMATION FROM MULTIPLE DATA SOURCES TO ASSESS POPULATION HEALTH.Journal of survey statistics and methodology · 2020
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Medicare Advantage Enrollment and Total Medicare Program Spending.Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financing
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

David M CutlerDavid M. Cutler ( dcutler@harvard.edu ) is the Otto Eckstein Professor of Applied Economics in the Department of Economics at Harvard University and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, both in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Kaushik GhoshKaushik Ghosh is a research specialist at the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge.
Kassandra L MesserKassandra L. Messer is a research associate at the Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, in Ann Arbor.
Trivellore E RaghunathanTrivellore E. Raghunathan is a professor of biostatistics in the Department of Biostatistics and director and research professor at the Survey Research Center and Institute for Social Research, all at the University of Michigan.
Susan T StewartSusan T. Stewart is a research specialist at the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge.
Allison B RosenAllison B. Rosen is an associate professor in the Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts Medical School, in Worcester.
National Bureau of Economic Research · USBiostatistical Consulting (United States) · USInstitute for Social Research · NOUniversity of Massachusetts Chan Medical School · US

Funding

Scientific and Technical CoreP2CHD041022 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI HIRAM BELTRAN-SANCHEZ · 2016 to 2026
$6.9M
Using Satellite National Health Accounts to Understand Health and Cost ChangesR37AG047312 · NIA · NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH · PI CUTLER, DAVID M · 2015 to 2022
$5.3M
NIA NIH HHS R37 AG047312NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041022
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We examined trends in per capita spending for Medicare beneficiaries ages sixty-five and older in the United States in the period 1999-2012 to determine why spending growth has been declining since around 2005. Decomposing spending by condition, we found that half of the spending slowdown was attributable to slower growth in spending for cardiovascular diseases. Spending growth also slowed for dementia, renal and genitourinary diseases, and aftercare for people with acute illnesses. Using estimates from the medical literature of the impact of pharmaceuticals on acute disease, we found that roughly half of the reduction in major cardiovascular events was attributable to medications controlling cardiovascular risk factors. Despite this substantial cost-saving improvement in cardiovascular health, additional opportunities remain to lower spending through disease prevention and control.

Indexed as

AgedCardiovascular DiseasesChronic DiseaseDelivery of Health CareHealth ExpendituresHumansMedicareUnited States

Identifiers

PMID30715965
PMCPMC6366852
OpenAlexW2914698587

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.