ArticleThe Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience2019
Probability Distortion Depends on Choice Sequence in Rhesus Monkeys.
Article in The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed, 43 citations in OpenAlex.
- Social hierarchy influences monkeys' risky decisions.Communications biology · 2026Article
- Sex and Age Differences in Decision-Making Under Risk by Wild Balinese Long-Tailed Macaques (Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2026Article
- Article
- Comparison of independence axiom violations across primates: humans and monkeys.Journal of economic behavior & organization · 2025Article
- Worth the Work? Monkeys Discount Rewards by a Subjective Adapting Effort Cost.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2023Article
- Dynamic prospect theory: Two core decision theories coexist in the gambling behavior of monkeys and humans.Science advances · 2023Article
- A neuronal prospect theory model in the brain reward circuitry.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Comparing utility functions between risky and riskless choice in rhesus monkeys.Animal cognition · 2022Article
- Primate anterior insular cortex represents economic decision variables proposed by prospect theory.Nature communications · 2022Article
- How does decision-making change during challenging times?PloS one · 2022Article
- Risky choice: Probability weighting explains independence axiom violations in monkeys.Journal of risk and uncertainty · 2022Article
- Article
- Nonhuman Primates Satisfy Utility Maximization in Compliance with the Continuity Axiom of Expected Utility Theory.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2021Article
- The adaptive value of probability distortion and risk-seeking in macaques' decision-making.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021Article
- The description-experience gap: a challenge for the neuroeconomics of decision-making under uncertainty.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021Review
- Investigating the origin and consequences of endogenous default options in repeated economic choices.PloS one · 2020Article
- Flexible combination of reward information across primates.Nature human behaviour · 2019Article
- Trait and State-Dependent Risk Attitude of Monkeys Measured in a Single-Option Response Task.Frontiers in neuroscience · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Humans and other primates share many decision biases, among them our subjective distortion of objective probabilities. When making choices between uncertain rewards we typically treat probabilities nonlinearly: overvaluing low probabilities of reward and undervaluing high ones. A growing body of evidence, however, points to a more flexible pattern of distortion than the classical inverse-S one, highlighting the effect of experimental conditions in shifting the weight assigned to probabilities, such as task feedback, learning, and attention. Here we investigated the role of sequence structure (the order in which gambles are presented in a choice task) in shaping the probability distortion patterns of rhesus macaques: we presented 2 male monkeys with binary choice sequences of MIXED or REPEATED gambles against safe rewards. Parametric modeling revealed that choices in each sequence type were guided by significantly different patterns of probability distortion: whereas we elicited the classical inverse-S-shaped probability distortion in pseudorandomly MIXED trial sequences of gamble-safe choices, we found the opposite pattern consisting of S-shaped distortion, with REPEATED sequences. We extended these results to binary choices between two gambles, without a safe option, and confirmed the unique influence of the sequence structure in which the animals make choices. Finally, we showed that the value of gambles experienced in the past had a significant impact on the subjective value of future ones, shaping probability distortion on a trial-by-trial basis. Together, our results suggest that differences in choice sequence are sufficient to reverse the direction of probability distortion.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.