Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30702520›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2019

Sociobehavioral and community predictors of unsuppressed HIV viral load: multilevel results from a hyperendemic rural South African population.

Andrew Tomita, Alain Vandormael, Till Bärnighausen, Andrew Phillips, Deenan Pillay, Tulio De Oliveira, Frank Tanser

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Andrew TomitaAfrica Health Research Institute.
Alain VandormaelAfrica Health Research Institute.
Till BärnighausenAfrica Health Research Institute.
Andrew PhillipsInstitute for Global Health.
Deenan PillayAfrica Health Research Institute.
Tulio De OliveiraKwaZulu-Natal Research Innovation and Sequencing (KRISP), College of Health Sciences.
Frank TanserAfrica Health Research Institute.

Funding

SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC PREDICTORS OF PHYSICAL AND COGNITIVE FUNCTIONP01AG041710 · NIA · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LISA F BERKMAN, THOMAS A GAZIANO · 2013 to 2026
$37.3M
Training Tanzanian Researchers for HIV/AIDS Implementation ScienceD43TW009775 · FIC · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Wafaie W Fawzi, Christopher Sudfeld · 2015 to 2026
$3.0M
New Methods for the design and evaluation of large HIV prevention interventionsR01AI112339 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SPIEGELMAN, DONNA L · 2014 to 2017
$2.7M
Causal Pathways to population health impact of HIV antiretroviral treatmentR01HD084233 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL · PI BARNIGHAUSEN, TILL, TANSER, FRANK COURTENEY · 2015 to 2021
$2.3M
Can HIV Hot-Spots be eradicated? An intervention to decrease HIV transmission to young women in rural KwaZulu-Natal South AfricaR01AI124389 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL · PI BARNIGHAUSEN, TILL, TANSER, FRANK COURTENEY · 2016 to 2020
$2.1M
Understanding causal pathways of HIV acquisition and transmission: a multi-level,R01HD058482 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL · PI BARNIGHAUSEN, TILL, TANSER, FRANK COURTENEY · 2008 to 2012
$1.2M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009775NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI112339NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI124389NIA NIH HHS P01 AG041710NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD058482NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD084233Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveExtensive antiretroviral therapy scale-up is expected to prevent onward transmission of HIV by reducing the overall community viral load. Despite multiple studies about predictors of detectable viral load derived from clinical setting, to date, no study has established such predictors using a population-based viral load survey in a sub-Saharan African hyperendemic setting to inform interventions designed to halt HIV transmission. We used one of Africa's largest prospective cohorts in rural KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa, to establish the key sociodemographic, behavioral and community predictors of unsuppressed viral load at the population level.

methodsWe collected 5454 viral load measurements from a population-based viral load survey of 3892 women living with HIV from a rural population during 2011, 2013 and 2014. Multilevel logistic regression models were fitted to examine the risk predictors of unsuppressed viral load.

resultsAmong women living with HIV in this population, the prevalence of unsuppressed viral load was 69% in 2011, 58% in 2013 and 53% in 2014. Although time since HIV infection was associated with lower risk for virologic detection [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.91,0.87-0.94], young women (aOR = 2.59,1.47-4.55) with extensive external migration history (aOR = 1.25,1.02-1.54), greater number of sexual partners (aOR = 1.30,1.02-1.67), and longer history of residing in an HIV incidence hotspot community were more likely to experience unsuppressed viral load (aOR = 1.12,1.06-1.19).

conclusionYoung women, number of sexual partners, transiency and longer residence in an HIV hotspot community are important determinants of unsuppressed viral load in a hyperendemic rural African setting. To substantially reduce the persistently high transmission potential in these settings, targeted interventions to address these risk factors will be essential for both individual and population health gains.

Indexed as

Viral LoadAdolescentAdultAgedFemaleHIVHIV InfectionsHumansMiddle AgedPrevalenceRisk FactorsRural PopulationSexual BehaviorSocial BehaviorSouth AfricaSurveys and Questionnaires

Identifiers

PMID30702520
PMCPMC6547375

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.