ArticleScientific reports2019
Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region.
Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Evaluating the impact of anthropogenic activities and climate change on distribution dynamics and habitat suitability of Lophira alata in Nigeria.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Machine learning predictions of climate change effects on nearly threatened bird species (Crithagra xantholaema) habitat in Ethiopia for conservation strategies.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Snakebite epidemiology, outcomes and multi-cluster risk modelling in Eswatini.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- Population Genetics, Genetic Structure, and Inbreeding ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Rising temperature drives tipping points in mutualistic networks.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Molecular Assessment of Genetic Diversity and Genetic Structure ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Uncovering the dynamics in global carbon dioxide utilization research: a bibliometric analysis (1995-2019).Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021Article
- Classifying biogeographic realms of the endemic fauna in the Afro-Arabian region.Ecology and evolution · 2020Article
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3 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
For 107 endemic mammal species in the Afro-Arabian region, Sahara-Sahel and Arabian Desert, we used ensemble species distribution models to: (1) identify the hotspot areas for conservation, (2) assess the potential impact of the projected climate change on the distribution of the focal species, and (3) assign IUCN threat categories for the focal species according to the predicted changes in their potential distribution range. We identified two main hotspot areas for endemic mammals: the Sinai and its surrounding coastal area in the East, and the Mediterranean Coast around Morocco in the West. Alarmingly, our results indicate that about 17% of the endemic mammals in the Afro-Arabian region under the current climate change scenarios could go extinct before 2050. Overall, a substantial number of the endemic species will change from the IUCN threat category "Least Concern" to "Critically Endangered" or "Extinct" in the coming decades. Accordingly, we call for implementing an urgent proactive conservation action for these endemic species, particularly those that face a high risk of extinction in the next few years. The results of our study provide conservation managers and practitioners with the required information for implementing an effective conservation plan to protect the biodiversity of the Afro-Arabian region.
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