Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30700271›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2019

Trend in risk of delay in diagnosis of new pulmonary tuberculosis in Northwest China from 2008 to 2017.

Hongguang Chen, Tingwei Wang, Lin Liu, Donglin Wang, Qingxue Cheng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hongguang ChenKey Laboratory of Mental Health, Ministry of Health, Peking University Institute of Mental Health, National Clinical Research Center for Mental Disorders (Peking University Sixth Hospital), Beijing, 100191, China. chenhg@bjmu.edu.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6716-5393
Tingwei WangYulin Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yulin, 719000, Shaanxi, China.
Lin LiuYulin Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yulin, 719000, Shaanxi, China.
Donglin WangYulin Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yulin, 719000, Shaanxi, China.
Qingxue ChengYulin Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Yulin, 719000, Shaanxi, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWith great changes over the past 10 years in China, especially the rapid economic development, population mobility, urbanization and aging, dynamic change on risk of delay, to our knowledge, has not been well studied in China. The study was to explore risk of delay in diagnosis of new pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) and dynamic changes in risk of delay in Northwest China.

methodsFrom January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2017, a total of 13,603 people with new PTB registered in Yulin city of Shaanxi province were included. The median delay time was estimated by Kaplan-Meier survival curve. Time delay curves of year-, gender-year-, age-year- and smear-year specific were examined using log-rank test. Two-level mixed-effects survival model was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) for factors associated with diagnostic delay. Time delay was defined as time interval between the onset of PTB symptoms and being diagnosed. The outcome variable of interest was defined as "being diagnosed" in survival analysis.

resultsThe 10-year delay time was 33 days (Interquartile Range, 16-65). Annual median delay time gradually decreased from 60 days to 33 days during the past 10 years. The probability that individuals were diagnosed since onset of PTB symptoms increased by 1.29 times in 2017 when compared to 2008. Female (Hazard Ratio (HR), 95%CI, 0.95(0.91-0.99)), age>45 years (HR, 95%CI, 0.87(0.82-0.93)) and smear positive (HR, 95%CI, 0.86(0.78-0.95)) were associated with increased risk of diagnostic delay over 10-year timespan. However, Age>45 years and smear positive showed trend to be protective factors in the past 5 years.

conclusionsTime and risk of delay in diagnosis of new PTB had declined over the past 10 years. However, more attentions should be paid to the fact that female still suffered from higher risk of diagnostic delay. We noted a potential reversal in traditional risk factors such as age>45 and smear positive. Those dynamic changes deserved further attention.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAge FactorsChinaDelayed DiagnosisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsSex FactorsSurvival AnalysisTime FactorsTuberculosis, PulmonaryYoung AdultDiagnostic delayPulmonary tuberculosisSurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID30700271
PMCPMC6354404

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.