ArticleThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene2019
Potential for Seasonal Lassa Fever Case Exportation from Nigeria.
Article in The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Mapping the scientific landscape of Lassa virus: a 55-year bibliometric study (1970-2025).Science in One Health · 2026Article
- Modelling the effects of climate and human factor on Lassa fever distribution in Ondo State Nigeria.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
- Predicting the risk of malaria importation into Jiangsu Province, China: a modeling study.Globalization and health · 2024Article
- Lassa Fever: Critical Review and Prospects for Control.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2024Review
- Increased outbreaks of monkeypox highlight gaps in actual disease burden in Sub-Saharan Africa and in animal reservoirs.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022Article
- The niche of One Health approaches in Lassa fever surveillance and control.Annals of clinical microbiology and antimicrobials · 2021Review
- Air Passenger Travel and International Surveillance Data Predict Spatiotemporal Variation in Measles Importations to the United States.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Countries at risk of importation of chikungunya virus cases from Southern Thailand: A modeling study.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2019Article
- Epidemiological trends of Lassa fever in Nigeria from 2015-2021: A review.Therapeutic advances in infectious diseaseReview
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The largest epidemic of Lassa fever in recent history occurred in Nigeria in 2018. We assessed the potential for cases of Lassa fever originating in Nigeria to arrive at international destinations via air travel using a probabilistic model. We estimated no exported cases in 62% of 1,000 model simulations. In 30% of simulations, a single exported case was projected. Greater than 40% of outbound travelers from Nigeria arrived in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Ghana, placing these countries at greatest risk for receiving an exported case. There was a wide range in the capacity of highly connected countries to respond to infectious disease threats, as measured by the Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index. Although we quantified a low probability of case exportation during this outbreak, countries with the greatest connectivity to Nigeria should be alert to the potential risks of Lassa fever importation and be prepared to manage infected individuals.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.