Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30689681›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2019

Spatiotemporal Error in Rainfall Data: Consequences for Epidemiologic Analysis of Waterborne Diseases.

Morgan C Levy, Philip A Collender, Elizabeth J Carlton, Howard H Chang, Matthew J Strickland, Joseph N S Eisenberg, Justin V Remais

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  11. Review
  12. Heavy Rainfall Events and Diarrheal Diseases: The Role of Urban-Rural Geography.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2020
    Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Morgan C LevySchool of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California, San Diego, San Diego, California.
Philip A CollenderDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California.
Elizabeth J CarltonDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado.
Howard H ChangDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Matthew J StricklandSchool of Community Health Sciences, University of Nevada, Reno, Reno, Nevada.
Joseph N S EisenbergDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Justin V RemaisDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California.

Funding

Environment Change and Diarrheal Disease: A Natural ExperimentR01AI050038 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI EISENBERG, JOSEPH N. S. · 2003 to 2012
$6.1M
Spatio-temporal data integration methods for infectious disease surveillanceR01AI125842 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI CHANG, HOWARD H, REMAIS, JUSTIN V · 2017 to 2021
$3.6M
Effects of agricultural expansion and intensification on infectionsR01TW010286 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI REMAIS, JUSTIN V, ROHR, JASON ROBERT · 2015 to 2019
$2.4M
FIC NIH HHS R01 TW010286NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI050038NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI125842
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The relationship between rainfall, especially extreme rainfall, and increases in waterborne infectious diseases is widely reported in the literature. Most of this research, however, has not formally considered the impact of exposure measurement error contributed by the limited spatiotemporal fidelity of precipitation data. Here, we evaluate bias in effect estimates associated with exposure misclassification due to precipitation data fidelity, using extreme rainfall as an example. We accomplished this via a simulation study, followed by analysis of extreme rainfall and incident diarrheal disease in an epidemiologic study in Ecuador. We found that the limited fidelity typical of spatiotemporal rainfall data sets biases effect estimates towards the null. Use of spatial interpolations of rain-gauge data or satellite data biased estimated health effects due to extreme rainfall (occurrence) and wet conditions (accumulated totals) downwards by 35%-45%. Similar biases were evident in the Ecuadorian case study analysis, where spatial incompatibility between exposed populations and rain gauges resulted in the association between extreme rainfall and diarrheal disease incidence being approximately halved. These findings suggest that investigators should pay greater attention to limitations in using spatially heterogeneous environmental data sets to assign exposures in epidemiologic research.

Indexed as

RainSpatio-Temporal AnalysisData AccuracyEcuadorEpidemiologic MethodsHumansWaterborne Diseasesbiasenvironmental epidemiologyexposure misclassificationextreme weathermeasurement errorprecipitationwaterborne diseases

Identifiers

PMID30689681
PMCPMC6494670

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.