Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30680676›Full record

ArticlePharmacoEconomics - open2019

Cost Effectiveness of Avelumab for Metastatic Merkel Cell Carcinoma.

Ash Bullement, Paul Nathan, Anna Willis, Amerah Amin, Cameron Lilley, Ceilidh Stapelkamp, Anthony Hatswell, Chris Pescott, Murtuza Bharmal

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PharmacoEconomics - open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02155647 (A Phase II, Open-Label, Multicenter Trial to Investigate the Clinical Activity and Safety of Avelumab), which is not on this map. Cited by 17 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02155647 phase2completednot on this map

A Phase II, Open-Label, Multicenter Trial to Investigate the Clinical Activity and Safety of Avelumab (MSB0010718C) in Subjects With Merkel Cell Carcinoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorEMD Serono Research & Development Institute, Inc.Ran2014 to 2023Enrolled204ConditionsCarcinoma, Merkel CellArmsAvelumab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Prophylaxis forBMJ open · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. The Use of Expert Elicitation among Computational Modeling Studies in Health Research: A Systematic Review.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2022
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ash BullementBresMed, Sheffield, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7091-0972
Paul NathanMount Vernon Cancer Centre, Northwood, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5612-8439
Anna WillisBresMed, Sheffield, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4795-4795
Amerah AminMerck Serono, Feltham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5558-5390
Cameron LilleyBresMed, Sheffield, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4647-6085
Ceilidh StapelkampMerck Serono, Feltham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2707-3790
Anthony HatswellDelta Hat, Nottingham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1129-326X
Chris PescottMerck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7763-9326
Murtuza BharmalMerck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. murtuza.bharmal@merckgroup.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7689-5769

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMetastatic Merkel cell carcinoma (mMCC) is a rare and aggressive skin cancer. Until recently, there were no licensed treatment options for patients with mMCC, and prognosis was poor. A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted for avelumab, a newly available treatment option for mMCC, versus standard care (SC), from a UK National Health Service perspective.

methodsA partitioned survival model was developed to assess the lifetime costs and effects of avelumab versus SC. Data from the JAVELIN Merkel 200 trial (NCT02155647) were used to inform estimates of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Unit costs and associated frequencies of use were informed by published literature and clinical expert opinion. Results were presented as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs, i.e. the cost per QALY gained) for treatment-experienced (TE) and treatment-naïve (TN) patients. Uncertainty was explored through a range of sensitivity analyses.

resultsDiscounting costs and QALYs at 3.5% per annum, avelumab was associated with ICERs of £35,274 (TE)/£39,178 (TN) per QALY gained. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis results demonstrated that avelumab was associated with an 88.3% (TE)/69.3% (TN) probability of being cost effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold for end-of-life treatments of £50,000 per QALY gained. Results were most sensitive to alternative survival extrapolations and dosing assumptions.

conclusionsThe analysis results suggest that avelumab is likely to be a cost-effective treatment option for UK mMCC patients. The results for TN patients are subject to some uncertainty, and a confirmatory analysis will be conducted with more mature data.

Identifiers

PMID30680676
PMCPMC6710317

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.