Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30668518›Full record

ArticleJMIR medical informatics2019

Predicting Appropriate Hospital Admission of Emergency Department Patients with Bronchiolitis: Secondary Analysis.

Gang Luo, Bryan L Stone, Flory L Nkoy, Shan He, Michael D Johnson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR medical informatics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Machine learning in patient flow: a review.Progress in biomedical engineering (Bristol, England) · 2021
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Gang LuoDepartment of Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7217-4008
Bryan L StoneDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0912-5227
Flory L NkoyDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8954-8288
Shan HeCare Transformation, Intermountain Healthcare, Salt Lake City, UT, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7982-9625
Michael D JohnsonDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5483-5933
University of Utah · USIntermountain Healthcare · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Predicting Appropriate Admission of Bronchiolitis Patients in the Emergency RoomR21HL128875 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI LUO, GANG · 2016 to 2017
$244k
NHLBI NIH HHS R21 HL128875
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn children below the age of 2 years, bronchiolitis is the most common reason for hospitalization. Each year in the United States, bronchiolitis causes 287,000 emergency department visits, 32%-40% of which result in hospitalization. Due to a lack of evidence and objective criteria for managing bronchiolitis, clinicians often make emergency department disposition decisions on hospitalization or discharge to home subjectively, leading to large practice variation. Our recent study provided the first operational definition of appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis and showed that 6.08% of emergency department disposition decisions for bronchiolitis were inappropriate. An accurate model for predicting appropriate hospital admission can guide emergency department disposition decisions for bronchiolitis and improve outcomes, but has not been developed thus far.

objectiveThe objective of this study was to develop a reasonably accurate model for predicting appropriate hospital admission.

methodsUsing Intermountain Healthcare data from 2011-2014, we developed the first machine learning classification model to predict appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis.

resultsOur model achieved an accuracy of 90.66% (3242/3576, 95% CI: 89.68-91.64), a sensitivity of 92.09% (1083/1176, 95% CI: 90.33-93.56), a specificity of 89.96% (2159/2400, 95% CI: 88.69-91.17), and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.960 (95% CI: 0.954-0.966). We identified possible improvements to the model to guide future research on this topic.

conclusionsOur model has good accuracy for predicting appropriate hospital admission for emergency department patients with bronchiolitis. With further improvement, our model could serve as a foundation for building decision-support tools to guide disposition decisions for children with bronchiolitis presenting to emergency departments. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR2-10.2196/resprot.5155.

Indexed as

appropriate hospital admissionbronchiolitisemergency departmentmachine learningpredictive model

Identifiers

PMID30668518
PMCPMC6362392
OpenAlexW2913685752

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.