Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30658613›Full record

Observational studyBMC musculoskeletal disorders2019

Follow-up score, change score or percentage change score for determining clinical important outcome following surgery? An observational study from the Norwegian registry for Spine surgery evaluating patient reported outcome measures in lumbar spinal stenosis and lumbar degenerative spondylolisthesis.

Ivar Magne Austevoll, Rolf Gjestad, Margreth Grotle, Tore Solberg, Jens Ivar Brox, Erland Hermansen, Frode Rekeland, Kari Indrekvam, Kjersti Storheim, Christian Hellum

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC musculoskeletal disorders, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 95 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Values derived from patient reported outcomes in spine surgery: a systematic review of the minimal clinically important difference, substantial clinical benefit, and patient acceptable symptom state.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. ISSLS Prize in Clinical Science 2025: A randomized trial on three different minimally invasive decompression techniques for lumbar spinal stenosis. Five years follow-up from the NORDSTEN-SST.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Trial
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  6. What is success of treatment? Expected outcome scores in cervical radiculopathy patients were much higher than the previously reported cut-off values for success.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2022
    Trial
  7. The association between preoperative MRI findings and clinical improvement in patients included in the NORDSTEN spinal stenosis trial.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2022
    Trial
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  10. Review
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  15. Sex difference in outcomes and risk factors for lumbar decompressive surgery.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  16. Tubular versus unilateral biportal endoscopy: MRI analysis after unilateral laminectomy for bilateral decompression in lumbar spinal stenosis.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Article
  17. Characterising patients undergoing surgery for lumbar spinal stenosis associated neurogenic claudication in the UK: what does the British Spinal Registry tell us?European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Ivar Magne AustevollKysthospitalet in Hagevik, Orthopedic Clinic, Haukeland, University Hospital, Hagaviksbakken 25, 5217 Hagevik, Bergen, Norway. imau@helse-bergen.no.
Rolf GjestadResearch Department, Division of Psychiatry, Haukeland University Hospital, Sanviksleitet 1, 5036 Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
Margreth GrotleResearch and Communication Unit for Musculoskeletal Health (FORMI), Oslo University Hospital, PB 4950 Nydalen, 0424, Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Tore SolbergThe Norwegian Registry for Spine Surgery (NORspine), Northern Norway Regional Health Authority, Postboks 20, 9038 Tromsø, Bodø, Norway.
Jens Ivar BroxThe Norwegian Registry for Spine Surgery (NORspine), Northern Norway Regional Health Authority, Postboks 20, 9038 Tromsø, Bodø, Norway.
Erland HermansenKysthospitalet in Hagevik, Orthopedic Clinic, Haukeland, University Hospital, Hagaviksbakken 25, 5217 Hagevik, Bergen, Norway.
Frode RekelandKysthospitalet in Hagevik, Orthopedic Clinic, Haukeland, University Hospital, Hagaviksbakken 25, 5217 Hagevik, Bergen, Norway.
Kari IndrekvamKysthospitalet in Hagevik, Orthopedic Clinic, Haukeland, University Hospital, Hagaviksbakken 25, 5217 Hagevik, Bergen, Norway.
Kjersti StorheimResearch and Communication Unit for Musculoskeletal Health (FORMI), Oslo University Hospital, PB 4950 Nydalen, 0424, Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Christian HellumThe Norwegian Registry for Spine Surgery (NORspine), Northern Norway Regional Health Authority, Postboks 20, 9038 Tromsø, Bodø, Norway.
Haukeland University Hospital · NOOslo University Hospital · NONorthern Norway Regional Health Authority · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAssessment of outcomes for spinal surgeries is challenging, and an ideal measurement that reflects all aspects of importance for the patients does not exist. Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), EuroQol (EQ-5D) and Numeric Rating Scales (NRS) for leg pain and for back pain are commonly used patients reported outcome measurements (PROMs). Reporting the proportion of individuals with an outcome of clinical importance is recommended. Knowledge of the ability of PROMs to identify clearly improved patients is essential. The purpose of this study was to search cut-off criteria for PROMs that best reflect an improvement considered by the patients to be of clinical importance.

methodsThe Global Perceived Effect scale was utilized to evaluate a clinically important outcome 12 months after surgery. The cut-offs for the PROMs that most accurately distinguish those who reported 'completely recovered' or 'much improved' from those who reported 'slightly improved', unchanged', 'slightly worse', 'much worse', or 'worse than ever' were estimated. For each PROM, we evaluated three candidate response parameters: the (raw) follow-up score, the (numerical) change score, and the percentage change score.

resultsWe analysed 3859 patients with Lumbar Spinal Stenosis [(LSS); mean age 66; female gender 50%] and 617 patients with Lumbar Degenerative Spondylolisthesis [(LDS); mean age 67; 72% female gender]. The accuracy of identifying 'completely recovered' and 'much better' patients was generally high, but lower for EQ-5D than for the other PROMs. For all PROMs the accuracy was lower for the change score than for the follow-up score and the percentage change score, especially among patients with low and high PROM scores at baseline. The optimal threshold for a clinically important outcome was ≤24 for ODI, ≥0.69 for EQ-5D, ≤3 for NRS leg pain, and ≤ 4 for NRS back pain, and, for the percentage change score, ≥30% for ODI, ≥40% for NRS leg pain, and ≥ 33% for NRS back pain. The estimated cut-offs were similar for LSS and for LDS.

conclusionFor estimating a 'success' rate assessed by a PROM, we recommend using the follow-up score or the percentage change score. These scores reflected a clinically important outcome better than the change score.

Indexed as

Patient Reported Outcome MeasuresRegistriesAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLumbar VertebraeMaleMiddle AgedNorwayPain MeasurementSpinal StenosisSpondylolisthesisTreatment OutcomeBack painLeg painLumbar degenerative spondylolisthesis (LDS)Lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS)Minimal clinically important difference (MCID)Oswestry disability index (ODI)Patient reported outcome measures (PROMs)Success criteria

Identifiers

PMID30658613
PMCPMC6339296
OpenAlexW2947249351

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.