Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30652551›Full record

ReviewJCO clinical cancer informatics2018

Microsimulation Modeling in Oncology.

Çağlar Çağlayan, Hiromi Terawaki, Qiushi Chen, Ashish Rai, Turgay Ayer, Christopher R Flowers

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in JCO clinical cancer informatics, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Evaluating Semi-Markov Processes and Other Epidemiological Time-to-Event Models by Computing Disease Sojourn Density as Partial Differential Equations.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2025
    Article
  6. Synthesis estimators for transportability with positivity violations by a continuous covariate.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Estimating the future cancer management costs attributable to modifiable risk factors in Canada.Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique · 2021
    Article
  12. Bayesian versus Empirical Calibration of Microsimulation Models: A Comparative Analysis.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Çağlar ÇağlayanÇağlar Çağlayan and Turgay Ayer, Georgia Institute of Technology; Hiromi Terawaki and Christopher R. Flowers, Emory University; Ashish Rai, American Cancer Society, Atlanta GA; and Qiushi Chen, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.
Hiromi TerawakiÇağlar Çağlayan and Turgay Ayer, Georgia Institute of Technology; Hiromi Terawaki and Christopher R. Flowers, Emory University; Ashish Rai, American Cancer Society, Atlanta GA; and Qiushi Chen, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.
Qiushi ChenÇağlar Çağlayan and Turgay Ayer, Georgia Institute of Technology; Hiromi Terawaki and Christopher R. Flowers, Emory University; Ashish Rai, American Cancer Society, Atlanta GA; and Qiushi Chen, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.
Ashish RaiÇağlar Çağlayan and Turgay Ayer, Georgia Institute of Technology; Hiromi Terawaki and Christopher R. Flowers, Emory University; Ashish Rai, American Cancer Society, Atlanta GA; and Qiushi Chen, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.
Turgay AyerÇağlar Çağlayan and Turgay Ayer, Georgia Institute of Technology; Hiromi Terawaki and Christopher R. Flowers, Emory University; Ashish Rai, American Cancer Society, Atlanta GA; and Qiushi Chen, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.
Christopher R FlowersÇağlar Çağlayan and Turgay Ayer, Georgia Institute of Technology; Hiromi Terawaki and Christopher R. Flowers, Emory University; Ashish Rai, American Cancer Society, Atlanta GA; and Qiushi Chen, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.

Funding

Translational Physician-Scientist Training Program in OncologyT32CA160040 · NCI · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI SHIN, DONG M · 2013 to 2017
$1.2M
Mentored Patient Oriented Research in LymphomaK24CA208132 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI FLOWERS, CHRISTOPHER R · 2016 to 2020
$822k
NCI NIH HHS K24 CA208132NCI NIH HHS T32 CA160040
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeMicrosimulation is a modeling technique that uses a sample size of individual units (microunits), each with a unique set of attributes, and allows for the simulation of downstream events on the basis of predefined states and transition probabilities between those states over time. In this article, we describe the history of the role of microsimulation in medicine and its potential applications in oncology as useful tools for population risk stratification and treatment strategy design for precision medicine.

methodsWe conducted a comprehensive and methodical search of the literature using electronic databases-Medline, Embase, and Cochrane-for works published between 1985 and 2016. A medical subject heading search strategy was constructed for Medline searches by using a combination of relevant search terms, such as "microsimulation model medicine," "multistate modeling cancer," and "oncology."

resultsMicrosimulation modeling is particularly useful for the study of optimal intervention strategies when randomized control trials may not be feasible, ethical, or practical. Microsimulation models can retain memory of prior behaviors and states. As such, it allows an explicit representation and understanding of how various processes propagate over time and affect the final outcomes for an individual or in a population.

conclusionA well-calibrated microsimulation model can be used to predict the outcome of the event of interest for a new individual or subpopulations, assess the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of alternative interventions, and project the future disease burden of oncologic diseases. In the growing field of oncology research, a microsimulation model can serve as a valuable tool among the various facets of methodology available.

Indexed as

Medical OncologyModels, TheoreticalComputer SimulationHumansNeoplasms

Identifiers

PMID30652551
PMCPMC6386553

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.